EUR/CAD – 1H – SELL

SELL 5× UPDATED

2026-09-18 02:00 UTC 16 hours ago

46.9 % ↑ +11.6 zur Vorkerze

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +5% Intraday

▲ Bullish 9 % (4.87) ▼ Bearish 91 % (49.12)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

57.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 40.4 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 17 Kerzen

Loading…

Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (18 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.10
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	2.02
▼	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish	indicator	1.98
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.96
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.96
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.90
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.88
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▲	KST Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.52
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▲	CTI OS Exit	indicator	1.44
▼	AROON Cross Down	indicator	1.25
▼	AROONOSC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.25
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	1.04
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	0.98

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals align on the 1H chart, suggesting strong short-term selling pressure.
Key levels to watch: resistance at 1.60724 and support at 1.60200.
Trend scores are weak across all timeframes, indicating a choppy, range-bound market.
A break below 1.60200 would confirm the bearish move; a bounce could invalidate it.

The 1H EUR/CAD chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including Aroon Cross Down, Aroon Oscillator Zero Cross Down, Balance of Power Zero Cross Down, Stochastic Fast KD Cross Down, and multiple moving-average retreats (EMA 200, MIDPRICE, SMA 50). The additional signals from Fibonacci and candlestick groups reinforce the bearish momentum. The confluence of these indicators suggests a strong short-term selling pressure, with the nearest resistance at 1.60724 acting as a ceiling and support at 1.60200 as the immediate downside target.

However, the trend across timeframes is mixed and choppy, with most timeframes showing a weak trend score of 1/5. While the 1H and 2H are technically bullish, the 4H and 1D are bearish, indicating conflicting signals. This divergence reduces the reliability of the bearish move, and the overall market is likely to remain range-bound. Traders should watch for a break below 1.60200 to confirm the bearish continuation, or a bounce off this level that could invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of 11+ bearish signals across indicator, Fibonacci, and candlestick groups.
▼ Price retreating from key moving averages (EMA 200, MIDPRICE, SMA 50) adds weight to the bearish case.
▼ Bearish trend on the 4H and 1D timeframes supports the longer-term downside bias.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe (1H, 2H) is still bullish, which could limit downside or cause a reversal.
▲ Weak trend scores (1/5) across all timeframes indicate a lack of momentum and possible sideways movement.
▲ Nearest support at 1.60200 is a strong level; a bounce here would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ Choppy price action may lead to false breakouts and whipsaws.