EUR/CHF – 30M – SELL
SELL 10× UPDATED
17 hours ago
35.3 %
– zur Vorkerze
WEAK
⚡ Confluence +60%
Scalping
▲ Bullish 3 % (1.90)
▼ Bearish 97 % (52.54)
6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 0.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 16 Kerzen
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Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(18 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTC, updated 10× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | MA Break Down | indicator | 2.42 |
| ▼ | EMA 50 Break Down | indicator | 2.36 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Break Down | indicator | 2.30 |
| ▼ | SMA 50 Break Down | indicator | 2.12 |
| ▼ | ALMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.09 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.00 |
| ▼ | ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish | indicator | 1.97 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.96 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.87 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 1.85 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.83 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.73 |
| ▼ | FISHER Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.73 |
| ▼ | HT SINE Cross Down | indicator | 1.68 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Entry | indicator | 1.61 |
| ▲ | KDJ OS Entry | indicator | 1.09 |
| ▼ | DPO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.07 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HUPChoppy / sideways
8HUPTrend forming
12HUPSolid trend
1DUPSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish momentum on the 30-minute chart, with multiple indicators aligning for a sell.
- Short-term timeframes (15m-2h) are bearish, but higher timeframes (4h-1d) remain bullish, indicating a potential pullback.
- Key levels: resistance at 0.94785 and support at 0.94519; a break below support confirms the move, while reclaiming resistance invalidates it.
- Oversold indicators (STOCHF, WILLR) suggest the bearish move may be mature, so watch for momentum shifts.
The EUR/CHF 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Stochastic Fast KD cross up, Williams Percent Range oversold entry, DEMA and EMA retreats down, an EMA 50 break down, a higher-timeframe trendline retreat down, a moving average break down, and a MAMA price break down, among others. Together, these indicate strong downside momentum on the intraday timeframe, with the 87% probability and 'very strong' strength reflecting a high-conviction setup. The trend across shorter timeframes (15m to 2h) is uniformly bearish, although the 30m and 1h trends are classified as choppy/sideways, suggesting that while the direction is down, the move may lack smoothness. In contrast, higher timeframes (4h to 1d) are bullish, with the daily and 12-hour trends showing solid bullish momentum. This creates a clear conflict: the intraday bearish signals are pushing against a larger bullish structure. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.94785 and support at 0.94519. A break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the setup and likely signal a return to the higher-timeframe uptrend.
Traders should be cautious given the mixed higher-timeframe signals. The bearish signal is strong on the 30-minute chart, but the bullish daily trend suggests that this may be a pullback within a larger uptrend rather than a reversal. The choppy conditions on the 30m and 1h timeframes add uncertainty, and the presence of oversold indicators (STOCHF and WILLR) could signal a bounce if momentum fades. Therefore, while the signal is compelling for short-term trades, it is essential to manage risk tightly and watch the key levels for confirmation or invalidation.
Traders should be cautious given the mixed higher-timeframe signals. The bearish signal is strong on the 30-minute chart, but the bullish daily trend suggests that this may be a pullback within a larger uptrend rather than a reversal. The choppy conditions on the 30m and 1h timeframes add uncertainty, and the presence of oversold indicators (STOCHF and WILLR) could signal a bounce if momentum fades. Therefore, while the signal is compelling for short-term trades, it is essential to manage risk tightly and watch the key levels for confirmation or invalidation.
Catalysts
- ▼ Dense cluster of bearish signals on the 30m chart, including EMA 50 break down and MAMA price break down.
- ▼ Uniform bearish trend across 15m, 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes, reinforcing downside direction.
- ▼ Very strong signal strength (87% probability) and multiple confirming indicators.
- ▼ Nearest support at 0.94519 provides a clear downside target and potential breakout level.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are bullish, which could cap downside and lead to a reversal.
- ▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on 30m and 1h suggest the bearish trend may lack momentum.
- ▲ Oversold readings on STOCHF and WILLR could trigger a bounce, especially if price reclaims resistance at 0.94785.
- ▲ If price breaks above 0.94785, the bearish setup is invalidated and the higher-timeframe uptrend likely resumes.
Symbol
EUR/CHF
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Conviction
0%
Strength
WEAK
Date
2026-09-18 14:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.94785 | 2026-09-17 |
| S1 | 0.94519 | 2026-09-18 |
| S2 | 0.94499 | 2026-09-18 |
| S3 | 0.94308 | 2026-09-16 |