EUR/CHF – 30M – SELL

SELL 10× UPDATED
17 hours ago
35.3 % zur Vorkerze
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +60% Scalping
▲ Bullish 3 % (1.90) ▼ Bearish 97 % (52.54)
6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 0.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 16 Kerzen
EUR/CHF  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 30m 0%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (18 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
MA Break Down indicator 2.42
EMA 50 Break Down indicator 2.36
MAMA PRICE Break Down indicator 2.30
SMA 50 Break Down indicator 2.12
ALMA Retreat Down indicator 2.09
EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.00
ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish indicator 1.97
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.96
STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.87
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.85
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.83
MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.73
FISHER Zero Cross Down indicator 1.73
HT SINE Cross Down indicator 1.68
WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.61
KDJ OS Entry indicator 1.09
DPO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.07

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPSolid trend
1D
UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish momentum on the 30-minute chart, with multiple indicators aligning for a sell.
  • Short-term timeframes (15m-2h) are bearish, but higher timeframes (4h-1d) remain bullish, indicating a potential pullback.
  • Key levels: resistance at 0.94785 and support at 0.94519; a break below support confirms the move, while reclaiming resistance invalidates it.
  • Oversold indicators (STOCHF, WILLR) suggest the bearish move may be mature, so watch for momentum shifts.
The EUR/CHF 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Stochastic Fast KD cross up, Williams Percent Range oversold entry, DEMA and EMA retreats down, an EMA 50 break down, a higher-timeframe trendline retreat down, a moving average break down, and a MAMA price break down, among others. Together, these indicate strong downside momentum on the intraday timeframe, with the 87% probability and 'very strong' strength reflecting a high-conviction setup. The trend across shorter timeframes (15m to 2h) is uniformly bearish, although the 30m and 1h trends are classified as choppy/sideways, suggesting that while the direction is down, the move may lack smoothness. In contrast, higher timeframes (4h to 1d) are bullish, with the daily and 12-hour trends showing solid bullish momentum. This creates a clear conflict: the intraday bearish signals are pushing against a larger bullish structure. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.94785 and support at 0.94519. A break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the setup and likely signal a return to the higher-timeframe uptrend.

Traders should be cautious given the mixed higher-timeframe signals. The bearish signal is strong on the 30-minute chart, but the bullish daily trend suggests that this may be a pullback within a larger uptrend rather than a reversal. The choppy conditions on the 30m and 1h timeframes add uncertainty, and the presence of oversold indicators (STOCHF and WILLR) could signal a bounce if momentum fades. Therefore, while the signal is compelling for short-term trades, it is essential to manage risk tightly and watch the key levels for confirmation or invalidation.
Catalysts
  • Dense cluster of bearish signals on the 30m chart, including EMA 50 break down and MAMA price break down.
  • Uniform bearish trend across 15m, 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes, reinforcing downside direction.
  • Very strong signal strength (87% probability) and multiple confirming indicators.
  • Nearest support at 0.94519 provides a clear downside target and potential breakout level.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are bullish, which could cap downside and lead to a reversal.
  • Choppy/sideways conditions on 30m and 1h suggest the bearish trend may lack momentum.
  • Oversold readings on STOCHF and WILLR could trigger a bounce, especially if price reclaims resistance at 0.94785.
  • If price breaks above 0.94785, the bearish setup is invalidated and the higher-timeframe uptrend likely resumes.
Symbol EUR/CHF
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 0%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-09-18 14:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.94785 2026-09-17
S1 0.94519 2026-09-18
S2 0.94499 2026-09-18
S3 0.94308 2026-09-16

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