EUR/GBP – 1H – BUY
BUY NEW
49 minutes ago
55.7 %
– erste Kerze
MODERATE
⚡ Confluence +3%
Intraday
▲ Bullish 66 % (6.81)
▼ Bearish 34 % (3.44)
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
48.7% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 66.4 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in
5 of 8 timeframes.
Target hit 10.1 %
vs 17.9 % average ·
stopped out 11.9 %
vs 9.0 %
(Forex, 159 closed runs).
Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(18 Sep 2026, 17:00 UTC).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat | indicator | 1.76 |
| ▲ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.64 |
| ▼ | Gapping Down Doji | candlestick | 1.48 |
| ▲ | KDJ OS Entry | indicator | 1.30 |
| ▼ | MAMA Cross Down | indicator | 1.11 |
| ▲ | Bullish Doji Star | candlestick | 0.99 |
| ▲ | RSX OS Entry | indicator | 0.91 |
| ▼ | QQE Midline Cross Down | indicator | 0.75 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HDOWNTrend forming
8HUPChoppy / sideways
12HUPChoppy / sideways
1DUPChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Oversold oscillators (STOCHRSI, KDJ, RSX) are turning up, suggesting a bounce is due.
- The Bullish Doji Star and Gapping Down Doji at the lower band hint at a potential reversal.
- The 1H trend is still bearish, so this is a counter-trend buy; watch resistance at 0.86065.
- Higher timeframes (8H-1D) are bullish but choppy, offering some support for a bounce.
The EUR/GBP 1H signal is a BUY with moderate strength, driven by a cluster of oversold oscillators and a candlestick reversal pattern. The STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, KDJ OS Entry, and RSX OS Entry all indicate that momentum is turning higher from deeply oversold conditions, while the MAMA Cross Down and QQE Midline Cross Down suggest that the short-term downtrend is losing steam. The Bullish Doji Star and Gapping Down Doji at the lower Bollinger Band (KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat) point to a potential reversal after a sharp decline.
However, the broader trend context is mixed. The 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes are all bearish, with the 1H trend forming (2/5), while higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bullish but choppy. This suggests that the buy signal is a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend on the lower timeframes. The nearest resistance at 0.86065 is a key level to watch; a break above it could confirm the reversal, while a failure to hold above support at 0.86065 (likely a typo, but as given) would invalidate the signal. Traders should watch for momentum confirmation and a close above the 1H resistance to increase confidence.
However, the broader trend context is mixed. The 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes are all bearish, with the 1H trend forming (2/5), while higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bullish but choppy. This suggests that the buy signal is a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend on the lower timeframes. The nearest resistance at 0.86065 is a key level to watch; a break above it could confirm the reversal, while a failure to hold above support at 0.86065 (likely a typo, but as given) would invalidate the signal. Traders should watch for momentum confirmation and a close above the 1H resistance to increase confidence.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple oversold indicators (STOCHRSI, KDJ, RSX) aligning for a bounce.
- ▲ Candlestick reversal pattern (Bullish Doji Star) at the lower Bollinger Band.
- ▲ Higher timeframe bias (8H-1D) is bullish, which may support a corrective move up.
- ▲ The signal's probability is 66% with moderate strength, indicating a reasonable edge.
Risk Factors
- ▼ The 1H trend is bearish, and the signal is counter-trend; a break below the nearest support (0.86065) would invalidate the bullish setup.
- ▼ The bearish trend on 15m-1H is solid/forming, which could overpower the bounce.
- ▼ The MAMA Cross Down and QQE Midline Cross Down indicate the downtrend is still intact; the bounce may be short-lived.
- ▼ Choppy/sideways conditions on higher timeframes could lead to false signals and whipsaws.
Symbol
EUR/GBP
Timeframe
1H
Direction
BUY
Conviction
66%
Strength
MODERATE
Date
2026-09-18 19:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.86065 | 2026-09-17 |
| S1 | 0.85607 | 2026-09-17 |
| S2 | 0.85535 | 2026-09-17 |
| S3 | 0.85498 | 2026-09-15 |