EUR/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED

2026-09-18 14:00 UTC 17 hours ago

35.3 % – zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 16 % (3.03) ▼ Bearish 84 % (15.81)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

54.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 6.7 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 17 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (18 Sep 2026, 11:30 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.25
▼	TSI Signal Cross Down	indicator	2.05
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	1.81
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	1.60
▲	STC OS Entry	indicator	1.53
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	1.37
▼	TEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.34

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

UPVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple moving-average breakdowns and momentum crosses on the 30M signal strong short-term bearish pressure.
The signal is a counter-trend move against the bullish higher timeframes, so it may be a pullback rather than a reversal.
Watch the 178.934 support; a break below confirms the sell signal, while a hold could lead to a bounce.
The 15M trend is also bearish but only forming—confirmation on that timeframe would strengthen the case.

The 30-minute EUR/JPY chart has fired a cluster of bearish indicators—DEMA, ALMA, and HMA breakdowns, a TEMA retreat, an STC oversold entry, and a TSI signal cross down—all pointing to immediate downside pressure. This short-term bearish signal, however, sits against a backdrop of higher-timeframe bullishness, with solid trends on the 1H, 8H, and very strong on the 12H. The 15-minute chart is also bearish but only forming, suggesting the pullback may be early. The key level to watch is the nearest support at 178.934; a break below would confirm the bearish momentum and could open the door to further declines, while a hold could see the pair resume its broader uptrend.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of seven bearish indicators on the 30M chart (DEMA, MAMA, TEMA, STC, TSI, ALMA, HMA) increases signal reliability.
▼ The 15M bearish trend aligns with the 30M signal, supporting short-term downside.
▼ The 1D timeframe is bearish, providing a longer-term backdrop that could align with this pullback.
▼ Strong signal strength (87% probability) suggests robust momentum behind the move.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (1H, 8H, 12H) are bullish; a strong bounce could invalidate the sell signal.
▲ The 30M trend itself is bullish, so this could be a temporary dip within an uptrend.
▲ If price holds above 178.934 support, the bearish momentum may fade and the pair could resume higher.
▲ The 2H and 4H trends are only forming, so they offer limited confirmation and could flip quickly.