EUR/JPY – 4H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-09-18 08:00 UTC 17 hours ago

55.7 % ↓ −5.3 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 65 % (11.34) ▼ Bearish 35 % (6.19)

4 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

43.8% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 64.7 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (18 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.80
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.60
▲	T3 Break Up	indicator	2.60
▲	EMA 50 Break Up	indicator	2.48
▲	MIDPOINT Break Up	indicator	2.36
▲	MIDPRICE Break Up	indicator	2.33
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.19
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.18
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.01
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.83
▲	CHOP Trending	indicator	1.79
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.75
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.71
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.57
▼	Advance Block	candlestick	1.11
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	0.97

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

UPVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

All major moving averages and the midpoint have turned bullish on the 4H, signaling strong upward momentum.
The trend is bullish across most timeframes, with the 12H showing the strongest conviction.
Watch the 185.746 resistance; a break above it would confirm the bullish continuation.
The 177.818 support is the key invalidation level—if price falls below it, the bullish signal is void.

The EUR/JPY 4H chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, with 14 indicators aligning in favor of upward momentum. The DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, and MAMA all show retreats upward, while the EMA 50 and MIDPOINT have broken to the upside, confirming a shift in the intermediate trend. This confluence of moving-average-based signals, combined with the HT TRENDLINE retreat up, points to strong buying interest and a very strong signal strength (95% probability).

Across timeframes, the bullish bias is consistent from the 30-minute up to the 12-hour chart, with the 12H showing a very strong trend (4/5). However, the 15-minute and daily timeframes remain bearish, introducing a note of caution. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 185.746, which bulls need to overcome to sustain momentum, and the nearest support at 177.818, which serves as the invalidation zone. A break above resistance could open the path for further upside, while a drop below support would negate the bullish setup.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of 14 bullish signals across multiple indicator families (moving averages, trendlines, midpoints).
▲ Strong trend alignment from 30m to 12H timeframes, with the 12H showing a very strong trend score.
▲ EMA 50 break up and midpoint break up add to the technical confirmation of trend reversal.
▲ Very high signal probability (95%) and very strong strength rating.

Risk Factors

▼ The 15-minute and daily timeframes are bearish, which could counter the bullish momentum on the 4H.
▼ Resistance at 185.746 is nearby and may cap upside if not broken decisively.
▼ A drop below the 177.818 support would invalidate the bullish setup and signal a potential reversal.
▼ The 4H trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5), suggesting the bullish trend is still in its early stages and may lack full confirmation.