EUR/USD – 2H – BUY

BUY 60× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-09-18 18:00 UTC 11 days ago

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 17.9 % average · stopped out 14.2 % vs 11.1 % (Forex, 211 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (18 Sep 2026, 18:00 UTC, updated 60× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.70
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.56
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.41
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.38
▼	COPPOCK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.33
▲	Long Line Bullish	candlestick	1.04

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signal on 2H, but weak strength and mixed higher-timeframe trends suggest a counter-trend move.
Momentum indicators (BOP, STOCH, WILLR) are turning up, but the broader trend remains bearish.
Watch the 1.15561 resistance; a break could open the door for more upside, while 1.14544 is the key support to hold.
The Long Line Bullish candlestick adds a short-term bullish bias, but confirmation from higher timeframes is lacking.

The EUR/USD 2H signal is a BUY with weak strength (61% probability), driven by a cluster of bullish indicators and a candlestick pattern. The BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCH KD Cross Up suggest improving buying pressure and short-term momentum, while the WILLR OS Exit indicates the pair is moving out of oversold conditions. The Long Line Bullish candlestick adds a visual confirmation of bullish intent. However, the DX Trend Weak and COPPOCK Zero Cross Down, along with the ER Level Cross Down, temper the signal, hinting that the broader trend is not yet firmly bullish.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed. The 15m, 30m, and 1h charts are bullish, with the 15m and 30m showing trend formation (2/5), but the 1h is choppy (1/5). The 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D are all bearish, with the higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) showing solid downtrends (3/5). This suggests the bullish signal is a counter-trend bounce within a larger bearish structure. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.15561 and support at 1.14544. A break above resistance could signal a deeper correction, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish case.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCH, WILLR) are aligning in a bullish direction, suggesting improving short-term momentum.
▲ The Long Line Bullish candlestick pattern provides a visual confirmation of buying interest.
▲ The 15m and 30m trends are forming bullish, indicating early-stage momentum that could spill over to the 2H.
▲ Price is above the nearest support, and the bullish signal occurs near the lower end of the recent range, offering a favorable risk/reward.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are in solid bearish trends, which could overwhelm the short-term bullish signal.
▼ The signal strength is weak (61%), and the DX Trend Weak indicates a lack of strong directional conviction.
▼ The COPPOCK and ER indicators are still negative, suggesting the broader momentum remains bearish.
▼ If price breaks below the 1.14544 support, the bullish thesis is invalidated, and the bearish trend likely resumes.