GBP/JPY – 2H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED

2026-09-18 12:00 UTC 17 hours ago

61.0 % ↑ +1.7 zur Vorkerze

VERY STRONG Intraday

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (18.59)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

55.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 100.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 4 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.1 % vs 17.9 % average · stopped out 11.9 % vs 9.0 % (Forex, 159 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (18 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ULTOSC OB Exit	indicator	2.27
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	2.21
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.69
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.67
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	1.11

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 2H chart shows a cluster of bearish signals, including a Bearish Harami and overbought exits, suggesting a potential reversal from recent highs.
Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are bearish, aligning with the 2H sell signal, but the 1H and 2H trends are still bullish, creating a mixed outlook.
Watch the support at 207.864; a break below would confirm the bearish move, while resistance at 211.808 is the key invalidation level.
Signal strength is weak, so confirmation from price action or additional signals is recommended before entering a trade.

The 2H GBP/JPY chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, ULTOSC OB Exit, SMA 200 Retreat Down, KDJ OB Exit, and a Bearish Harami candlestick pattern. These signals collectively suggest that the recent upward momentum is stalling and that sellers are beginning to assert control on the 2H timeframe. However, the signal's strength is weak and the probability is only 62%, reflecting the mixed picture across higher timeframes. While the 2H, 1H, 4H, and 8H trends are bullish, the 12H and 1D trends are bearish, indicating that the longer-term bias is down. This confluence of bearish signals on the 2H with bearish higher-timeframe trends suggests that the pullback could extend, but the immediate bullish lower-timeframe trends (15m, 30m) may offer some support.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 211.808 and support at 207.864. A break below the support would confirm the bearish reversal and open the door for further downside, while a move back above the resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. Given the weak signal strength, traders should be cautious and wait for confirmation, such as a daily close below the support or a sustained break of the 2H bullish trendline. The presence of multiple overbought exit signals (ULTOSC, KDJ) and the Bearish Harami add weight to the bearish case, but the conflicting bullish trends on the 1H and 2H could limit the downside unless the higher-timeframe bearish pressure takes over.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple overbought exit signals (ULTOSC, KDJ) and a BOP Zero Cross Down indicate fading bullish momentum.
▼ The Bearish Harami candlestick pattern adds a classic reversal signal to the technical setup.
▼ The 12H and 1D trends are bearish, providing longer-term alignment with the sell signal.
▼ The SMA 200 Retreat Down suggests price is pulling back from a key moving average, which can act as resistance.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1H and 2H trends are still bullish, which could mean the pullback is only temporary and the uptrend resumes.
▲ The signal strength is weak, and the 62% probability leaves a significant chance of failure.
▲ A move above the resistance at 211.808 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ The 15m and 30m trends are bearish but only 'trend forming', so momentum may not be strong enough to push through support.