GBP/JPY – 30M – BUY
BUY 6× UPDATED
17 hours ago
61.0 %
↑ +25.7 zur Vorkerze
VERY STRONG
⚡ Confluence +6%
Scalping
▲ Bullish 100 % (18.38)
▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)
6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 100.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 16 Kerzen
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Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(18 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTC, updated 6× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.52 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 2.33 |
| ▲ | SMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.30 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.29 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.25 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.99 |
| ▼ | TSI Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.95 |
| ▲ | RSX OB Exit | indicator | 1.85 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.81 |
| ▼ | MACD Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.75 |
| ▲ | Bullish Meeting Lines | candlestick | 1.36 |
| ▼ | ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.19 |
| ▼ | Gapping Down Doji | candlestick | 0.54 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MUPTrend forming
1HUPSolid trend
2HUPSolid trend
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPSolid trend
12HDOWNVery strong trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A strong bullish signal cluster on the 30m chart, with 82% probability and strong strength.
- Lower timeframes (30m to 8h) are bullish, but the 12h and 1d are bearish, creating a potential conflict.
- Key support to watch: 207.864. A break below would invalidate the bullish setup.
- No immediate resistance is listed, so upside targets are unclear—watch for price action around previous highs.
The 30-minute GBP/JPY chart is flashing a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, a MACD Signal Cross Down (often a bullish crossover at lower levels), an STOCHF KD Cross Up, and multiple moving-average retreat-ups (EMA, KAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, SMA). This confluence of indicator-based and candlestick signals points to strong buying pressure at the current level, with the 82% probability and 'strong' strength rating suggesting high conviction. The immediate trend across timeframes is mostly aligned: the 30m, 1h, 2h, 4h, and 8h charts are all bullish, with the 1h, 2h, and 8h showing solid trends (3/5). This alignment supports the case for a continued move higher in the short to medium term.
However, the higher timeframes (12h and 1d) are bearish, with the 12h showing a very strong downtrend (4/5). This creates a potential conflict: the bullish signals on lower timeframes may be a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance is not provided, which could mean the pair is near a significant level or that the signal is occurring in a zone without clear overhead supply. The nearest support is at 207.864, which serves as the immediate invalidation level. If the price breaks below this support, the bullish thesis would be negated. Traders should watch for whether the bullish momentum can push through any hidden resistance or stall at the 12h/1d bearish trend lines.
However, the higher timeframes (12h and 1d) are bearish, with the 12h showing a very strong downtrend (4/5). This creates a potential conflict: the bullish signals on lower timeframes may be a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance is not provided, which could mean the pair is near a significant level or that the signal is occurring in a zone without clear overhead supply. The nearest support is at 207.864, which serves as the immediate invalidation level. If the price breaks below this support, the bullish thesis would be negated. Traders should watch for whether the bullish momentum can push through any hidden resistance or stall at the 12h/1d bearish trend lines.
Catalysts
- ▲ Confluence of multiple bullish indicators (BOP, MACD, STOCHF, EMA, KAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, SMA) all firing together.
- ▲ Trend alignment across 30m, 1h, 2h, 4h, and 8h timeframes, all bullish.
- ▲ Strong trend scores on 1h, 2h, and 8h (3/5 each) indicate solid momentum.
- ▲ The signal is backed by both candlestick and indicator groups, adding to its reliability.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframe bearish trends (12h very strong, 1d solid) could override the lower-timeframe bullish signal.
- ▼ If price falls below the nearest support at 207.864, the bullish setup is invalidated.
- ▼ The lack of a defined nearest resistance means the upside may be capped by unseen supply zones.
- ▼ The MACD Signal Cross Down could be a false signal if the cross occurs in overbought conditions or without volume confirmation.
Symbol
GBP/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
BUY
Conviction
100%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-09-18 14:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| S1 | 207.86400 | 2026-09-17 |
| S2 | 207.38500 | 2026-09-14 |