GBP/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-09-18 15:00 UTC 59 minutes ago

59.3 % – zur Vorkerze

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +6% Scalping

▲ Bullish 15 % (3.08) ▼ Bearish 85 % (17.02)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

54.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 84.7 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.1 % vs 17.9 % average · stopped out 11.9 % vs 9.0 % (Forex, 159 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (18 Sep 2026, 12:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	2.33
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.55
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.37
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.25
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.00
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.92
▼	Last Engulfing Bottom	candlestick	0.71

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart, led by a Bearish Engulfing and multiple indicator retreats.
Immediate downside bias targets nearest support at 207.864.
Medium-term timeframes (1h-8h) are bullish, so the sell may be a pullback within a larger uptrend.
Higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are bearish, adding weight to the sell signal.

The 30-minute GBP/JPY chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Bearish Engulfing candlestick and confirmed by multiple indicator retreats (DEMA, MAMA, ALMA) plus a BOP zero cross down and STOCHRSI KD cross down. This suggests an immediate downside push within the 30-minute timeframe, targeting the nearest support at 207.864. However, the broader trend picture is mixed: while the 12-hour and daily timeframes are bearish (very strong and solid, respectively), the 1-hour through 8-hour timeframes remain bullish, with the 1h and 2h showing solid uptrends. This creates a conflict between the short-term bearish signal and the medium-term bullish momentum, meaning the sell could be a pullback within a larger uptrend rather than a reversal. The confluence of bearish signals on the 30-minute chart, however, gives the sell a strong probability (81%) and suggests that a move toward support is likely in the near term. Traders should watch how price reacts at 207.864: a break below could open the door to further downside, while a bounce would confirm the medium-term bullish trend remains intact.

Catalysts

▼ Dense confluence of bearish signals across candlestick and indicator groups.
▼ Strong trend score (81% probability) and 'strong' strength rating.
▼ Higher timeframes (12h, 1d) align bearish, supporting the sell direction.
▼ Bearish Engulfing pattern provides clear candlestick confirmation.

Risk Factors

▲ Medium-term timeframes (1h-8h) remain bullish, which could cap downside or trigger a reversal.
▲ Nearest support at 207.864 is the key invalidation level; a break below would confirm the sell, but a bounce would invalidate it.
▲ Momentum may fade if the 30-minute signal is merely a pullback within the larger uptrend.
▲ Watch for conflicting signals on the 1-hour or 2-hour charts that could override the short-term bearish bias.