GBP/JPY – 4H – BUY

BUY 4× UPDATED

2026-09-18 20:00 UTC 16 hours ago

61.0 % – zur Vorkerze

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +40% Swing

▲ Bullish 99 % (57.20) ▼ Bearish 1 % (0.85)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

47.0% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 98.5 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 5 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Rectanglebreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.53
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.48
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.23
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	2.13
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.09
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.02
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.97
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.88
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.59
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.47
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.24
▼	Below The Stomach	candlestick	1.09
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	0.86

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

UPSolid trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish bias on GBP/JPY 4H, backed by multiple indicator and pattern signals.
Key resistance at 216.99700; a break above could confirm further upside.
Support at 207.29500 is the critical level; losing it would invalidate the bullish setup.
Higher timeframe (1D) is bearish, so watch for potential reversal pressure.

The 4H chart for GBP/JPY has triggered a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Rectangle pattern, a BOP Zero Cross Up, and multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT Trendline, MAMA Price) that confirm buying momentum. The CCI OB Exit and BBANDS Upper Retreat Down indicate the market is pulling back from overbought conditions, which often precedes a continuation higher in an uptrend. The confluence of chart pattern, indicator, and candlestick signals across the 4H timeframe gives the setup a very strong conviction, reflected in the 86% probability score.

Trend alignment is mixed but supportive on the lower-to-mid timeframes: 15m through 2H are bullish, with 2H and 4H showing trend formation, while 8H and 12H are solidly bullish. However, the 1D timeframe remains bearish, which is a key caution. The immediate resistance sits at 216.99700, and a break above that level would likely open the path toward higher targets. Support is at 207.29500, which acts as the invalidation zone for the bullish setup.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple bullish signals (Rectangle, BOP, moving-average retreats) on the 4H chart.
▲ Trend alignment across 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H all bullish, with solid trend scores on higher timeframes.
▲ Pullback from overbought conditions (CCI OB Exit, BBANDS Upper Retreat) suggests healthy correction within an uptrend.
▲ Very strong signal strength (86% probability) indicates high conviction.

Risk Factors

▼ The 1D timeframe is bearish, which could cap upside or trigger a reversal.
▼ If price fails to break above 216.99700, the bullish momentum may fade.
▼ A break below 207.29500 support would invalidate the setup and signal a potential trend change.
▼ Choppy/sideways action on lower timeframes (15m-1h) could lead to false breakouts.