NZD/USD – 1H – SELL
SELL 5× UPDATED
17 hours ago
55.7 %
↑ +20.4 zur Vorkerze
WEAK
⚡ Confluence +9%
Intraday
▲ Bullish 31 % (2.80)
▼ Bearish 69 % (6.13)
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
48.7% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 68.6 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 10 Kerzen
Loading…
Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(18 Sep 2026, 10:00 UTC, updated 5× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.71 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.52 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 2.48 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.46 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.41 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.40 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.39 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.39 |
| ▼ | ALMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.05 |
| ▼ | AROON Cross Down | indicator | 1.85 |
| ▼ | AROONOSC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.85 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.82 |
| ▼ | AROON Strong Downtrend | indicator | 1.71 |
| ▲ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up | indicator | 1.39 |
| ▲ | KDJ OS Entry | indicator | 1.09 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.08 |
| ▲ | ZSCORE Extreme Low | indicator | 1.07 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNTrend forming
4HDOWNVery strong trend
8HDOWNVery strong trend
12HDOWNVery strong trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 1H chart points to continued downside momentum.
- All timeframes are bearish, with the strongest trends on the 4H, 8H, and 12H charts.
- Watch the nearest resistance at 0.57501 as the key invalidation level.
- The nearest support at 0.57032 is the immediate downside target.
The NZD/USD 1H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including AROON Cross Down, AROON Strong Downtrend, and AROONOSC Zero Cross Down, alongside momentum retreats in DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, and KAMA. This confluence indicates that the short-term trend has decisively turned lower after a period of consolidation. The bearish alignment is supported across all timeframes, with the 4H, 8H, and 12H charts showing very strong downtrends, while the 1D confirms a solid bearish trend. The 15m to 1H timeframes are choppy but still bearish, suggesting that the immediate move may be part of a broader decline rather than a fresh reversal.
Traders should watch the nearest resistance at 0.57501 as the immediate invalidation zone; a break above this level would signal that the bearish momentum is waning. On the downside, the nearest support at 0.57032 is the first target, with a break potentially opening further downside. The high probability (92%) and very strong strength reflect the exceptional alignment of indicators and trend scores. However, the choppy lower timeframes and the proximity of support warrant caution, as a bounce could occur if the pair fails to break through this level decisively.
Traders should watch the nearest resistance at 0.57501 as the immediate invalidation zone; a break above this level would signal that the bearish momentum is waning. On the downside, the nearest support at 0.57032 is the first target, with a break potentially opening further downside. The high probability (92%) and very strong strength reflect the exceptional alignment of indicators and trend scores. However, the choppy lower timeframes and the proximity of support warrant caution, as a bounce could occur if the pair fails to break through this level decisively.
Catalysts
- ▼ Strong confluence of AROON, momentum, and trend-following indicators all aligned bearish.
- ▼ Consistent bearish trends across all timeframes, with very strong scores on higher timeframes.
- ▼ High probability (92%) and very strong strength signal increase confidence in the move.
- ▼ Multiple signal groups (indicator and candlestick) firing together add to the robustness.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Choppy and sideways action on lower timeframes (15m-1H) could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
- ▲ Immediate support at 0.57032 may act as a floor, causing a bounce if not broken decisively.
- ▲ If price breaks above resistance at 0.57501, the bearish thesis is invalidated.
- ▲ Momentum could fade if the pair enters a consolidation phase before reaching the target.
Symbol
NZD/USD
Timeframe
1H
Direction
SELL
Conviction
69%
Strength
WEAK
Date
2026-09-18 12:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.57501 | 2026-09-17 |
| R2 | 0.57653 | 2026-09-16 |
| R3 | 0.57885 | 2026-09-14 |
| S1 | 0.57032 | 2026-09-16 |