USD/CHF – 1H – SELL
SELL 3× UPDATED
20 hours ago
59.3 %
– zur Vorkerze
MODERATE
Intraday
▲ Bullish 20 % (5.62)
▼ Bearish 80 % (22.05)
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
51.8% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 79.7 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 5 Kerzen
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Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
50% — below this the other side leads
Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(18 Sep 2026, 15:00 UTC, updated 3× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.89 |
| ▼ | VORTEX Cross Down | indicator | 1.81 |
| ▼ | DPO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.67 |
| ▼ | DI CROSS Cross Down | indicator | 1.51 |
| ▼ | SMI Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.48 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▼ | CMO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.36 |
| ▼ | RSI Midline Cross Down | indicator | 1.36 |
| ▼ | AO Saucer Bearish | indicator | 1.35 |
| ▼ | DM CROSS Cross Down | indicator | 1.33 |
| ▼ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down | indicator | 1.27 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.17 |
| ▼ | HMA Direction Down | indicator | 1.13 |
| ▼ | TSI Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.11 |
| ▼ | Last Engulfing Bottom | candlestick | 1.10 |
| ▼ | ER Level Cross Down | indicator | 1.08 |
| ▼ | TTM TREND Trend Down | indicator | 1.06 |
| ▼ | MACD Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.01 |
| ▼ | CCI Zero Cross Down | indicator | 0.98 |
| ▼ | BIAS Zero Cross Down | indicator | 0.83 |
| ▼ | KELTNER MID Cross Down | indicator | 0.79 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HUPSolid trend
8HUPSolid trend
12HUPSolid trend
1DUPChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- All 17 indicators on the 1H chart are flashing bearish, signaling strong short-term selling pressure.
- The bearish trend is consistent across the 15m to 2h timeframes, but the 4h, 8h, and 12h remain bullish, indicating a potential pullback.
- Key levels: support at 0.82256 and resistance at 0.82619—watch for a break below support or a bounce off it.
- The signal is very strong with high probability, but the higher-timeframe bullish trend is a major counterweight.
The 1H USD/CHF chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, with all 17 indicators crossing down simultaneously, including the BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI Zero Cross Down, CMO Zero Cross Down, DI Cross Down, DM Cross Down, MACD Signal Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, and BBANDS Middle Cross Down. This broad-based momentum shift indicates strong selling pressure at the 1H timeframe, and the bearish alignment across the 15m, 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes reinforces the short-term downtrend. However, the higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h) remain in a solid bullish trend, suggesting this is likely a pullback within a larger uptrend rather than a full reversal.
Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 0.82256 and resistance at 0.82619. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum and could open the door to further downside, while a bounce off support might signal the resumption of the higher-timeframe bullish trend. The high probability and very strong strength of the signal, combined with the confluence of multiple indicators, suggest the bearish move may have legs in the short term, but traders should be cautious of the conflicting higher-timeframe trend.
Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 0.82256 and resistance at 0.82619. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum and could open the door to further downside, while a bounce off support might signal the resumption of the higher-timeframe bullish trend. The high probability and very strong strength of the signal, combined with the confluence of multiple indicators, suggest the bearish move may have legs in the short term, but traders should be cautious of the conflicting higher-timeframe trend.
Catalysts
- ▼ Broad-based bearish crossover across all major momentum and trend indicators on the 1H chart.
- ▼ Bearish alignment across multiple lower timeframes (15m to 2h) confirms the short-term downtrend.
- ▼ Signal strength is rated 'very strong' with a 100% probability, indicating high confluence.
- ▼ Multiple signal groups (candlestick and indicator) firing together add to the bearish case.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h) are in a solid bullish trend, which could limit downside and lead to a reversal.
- ▲ The lower timeframes are described as 'choppy/sideways,' which may reduce the reliability of the bearish signal.
- ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.82619 would invalidate the bearish bias and signal a potential shift back to the uptrend.
- ▲ Momentum may fade quickly if the price approaches the support level at 0.82256, as buyers could step in.
Symbol
USD/CHF
Timeframe
1H
Direction
SELL
Conviction
80%
Strength
MODERATE
Date
2026-09-18 17:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.82619 | 2026-09-17 |
| R2 | 0.82637 | 2026-09-16 |
| S1 | 0.82256 | 2026-09-18 |
| S2 | 0.82224 | 2026-09-17 |
| S3 | 0.81771 | 2026-09-16 |