USD/CHF – 2H – SELL

SELL NEW
22 hours ago
61.0 % erste Kerze
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +13% Intraday
▲ Bullish 4 % (1.31) ▼ Bearish 96 % (35.49)
6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
55.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 96.4 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
USD/CHF  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (18 Sep 2026, 18:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
BBANDS LOWER Break Down indicator 3.14
MIDPRICE Break Down indicator 3.02
ALMA Break Down indicator 2.32
MAMA PRICE Break Down indicator 2.29
SMA Break Down indicator 2.24
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.96
HMA Break Down indicator 1.92
HT TRENDLINE Break Down indicator 1.86
CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.70
RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.70
DPO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.50
QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.43
WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.31
Long Line Bearish candlestick 1.12
KELTNER MID Cross Down indicator 0.89

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPSolid trend
12H
UPSolid trend
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • 2H chart shows a very strong bearish signal cluster, with multiple indicators confirming downside momentum.
  • Higher timeframes (4H and above) remain bullish, so the sell signal may be a pullback within an uptrend.
  • Key levels: resistance at 0.82637, support at 0.81530; watch for a break of support for continuation.
  • Trend scores are weak on the 30m-2H timeframes, indicating choppy conditions despite the bearish signal.
The 2H USD/CHF chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including CMO Zero Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, WILLR OS Entry, BBANDS LOWER Break Down, DEMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Break Down, MAMA PRICE Break Down, and MIDPRICE Break Down, among others. This confluence indicates strong downside momentum on the 2H timeframe, with price breaking below key dynamic levels and the lower Bollinger Band, suggesting an acceleration of selling pressure. The signal strength is rated very strong with a 96% probability, reflecting the high number of aligned indicators.

However, the trend structure is mixed across timeframes. While the 15m to 2H timeframes are bearish, the 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are all bullish, with the 8H and 12H showing solid trends. This suggests the current bearish move is likely a correction within a larger uptrend. The nearest resistance is at 0.82637, and the nearest support is at 0.81530. A break below support could extend the correction, but the higher timeframe bullish bias may limit downside potential. Traders should watch for a reversal signal near support or a reclaim of the 2H trendline as potential trend change cues.
Catalysts
  • High number of aligned bearish signals (11+ indicators) on the 2H timeframe.
  • Break below the lower Bollinger Band and key trendlines suggests strong short-term momentum.
  • Bearish trend alignment on the 15m to 2H timeframes supports the immediate sell direction.
  • Very strong signal strength (96% probability) reflects high confluence of technical factors.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframe trend is bullish (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D), which could absorb the bearish move and trigger a reversal.
  • The 2H trend score is only 1/5 (choppy/sideways), indicating weak trend conviction on the signal timeframe.
  • Nearest support at 0.81530 may act as a strong floor; a failure to break below it could lead to a bounce.
  • If price reclaims the broken trendline or the 2H RSI crosses back above 50, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Conviction 96%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-09-18 18:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.82637 2026-09-16
S1 0.81530 2026-09-14
S2 0.80672 2026-09-09
S3 0.80520 2026-09-03

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