USD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 10× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-09-18 16:00 UTC 7 days ago

Loading…

Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (18 Sep 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.51
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.35
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.86
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.74
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.04

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bullish signal on the 1H chart, backed by multiple momentum and trend indicators, suggests continued upside in USD/JPY.
The bullish trend is supported across all intraday timeframes up to 12H, but the daily trend is strongly bearish, so caution is warranted.
The nearest support at 155.32200 is the critical level to watch; a break below it would negate the bullish signal.
With no defined resistance, upside targets are unclear, so managing risk with trailing stops is essential.

The USD/JPY 1H signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 93% probability and very strong strength, driven by a cluster of momentum and trend indicators. The BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCHRSI KD Cross Up confirm improving buying pressure and momentum, while DEMA Retreat Up and MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicate that pullbacks are being bought within an uptrend. The HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up adds a cyclical bullish component, and the AO Saucer Bearish suggests a potential reversal from a consolidation pattern, all aligning to support a long bias.

Across timeframes, the bullish trend is consistent from 15m up to 12h, with the strongest conviction on the 1H, 2H, and 12H charts (solid trend, 3/5). The 30m, 4H, and 8H are also bullish but still forming, indicating room for trend development. However, the daily timeframe shows a very strong bearish trend (4/5), which poses a significant headwind. The nearest support at 155.32200 is a key level to watch; a break below it would invalidate the bullish setup. Resistance is not defined, so upside targets are less clear, increasing the importance of trailing stops and momentum confirmation.

Catalysts

▲ Strong alignment of bullish signals across multiple indicators (BOP, STOCHRSI, DEMA, MAMA, HT PHASOR, AO) on the 1H chart.
▲ Consistent bullish trend across all intraday timeframes (15m to 12H), with solid trend scores on the 1H, 2H, and 12H.
▲ Price is holding above the nearest support at 155.32200, providing a clear invalidation level.
▲ The signal's high probability (93%) and very strong strength indicate robust momentum.

Risk Factors

▼ The daily timeframe shows a very strong bearish trend (4/5), which could overpower the intraday bullish momentum.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 155.32200 would invalidate the bullish signal and could trigger a sharp decline.
▼ The AO Saucer Bearish pattern may indicate a weakening of bullish momentum, potentially leading to a pullback.
▼ Lack of a defined resistance level makes it difficult to set profit targets, increasing the risk of giving back gains.