USD/JPY – 2H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-09-18 16:00 UTC 20 hours ago

61.0 % ↑ +5.6 zur Vorkerze

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +1% Intraday

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (19.91)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

55.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 100.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (18 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	2.34
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.16
▲	CMO OB Exit	indicator	2.05
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.84
▼	ZLMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.74
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.72
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.64
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.63
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.52
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.46
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.25
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.16
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.06
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	0.90

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple overbought indicators on the 2H chart suggest a short-term pullback is possible.
Trends are mixed: lower timeframes bearish, medium timeframes bullish, daily strongly bearish.
Watch the nearest support for confirmation; a break below could signal further downside.
Signal strength is weak, so treat the sell as a tactical move within a larger uptrend.

The 2H USD/JPY SELL signal is driven by a cluster of overbought exit signals across CCI, CMO, RSI, and Williams %R, alongside a STOCH KD cross down and a retreat from the upper Bollinger Band. This suggests a short-term pullback from overbought conditions is likely. However, the signal's weak strength and the mixed trend picture across timeframes temper conviction: lower timeframes (15m to 1h) are bearish but only forming trends, while the 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H are bullish, with the 1D being strongly bearish. This divergence indicates that the sell signal may be counter to the medium-term uptrend, potentially limiting downside.

Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 160.38900 and nearest support at 160.38900 (likely a typo, but as given). A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a rebound from support could invalidate the signal. The confluence of overbought indicators on the 2H chart supports a pullback, but traders should be cautious given the bullish higher timeframes and the weak signal strength.

Catalysts

▼ Cluster of overbought exit signals (CCI, CMO, RSI, WILLR) on the 2H timeframe.
▼ STOCH KD cross down and retreat from upper Bollinger Band indicate momentum shift.
▼ Bearish trend on the 1D timeframe provides a longer-term backdrop for selling.
▼ Multiple indicators aligned (15+ signals) increase the likelihood of a short-term move.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2H to 12H) are bullish, which could limit downside or lead to a reversal.
▲ Weak signal strength suggests the pullback may be shallow or short-lived.
▲ If price holds above support and resumes the uptrend, the sell signal could be invalidated.
▲ Conflicting trends across timeframes reduce the reliability of the signal.