AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 15× UPDATED CLOSED
16 hours ago
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 21 × 30m 97%
conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (20 Sep 2026, 20:30 UTC, updated 15× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
ALMA Break Up indicator 2.73
ZLMA Break Up indicator 2.68
FISHER Zero Cross Up indicator 1.91
STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.71
QSTICK Zero Cross Up indicator 1.58
T3 Retreat Up indicator 1.57
MOM Zero Cross Up indicator 1.46
ROC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.46
ROCR Cross Up indicator 1.46
KDJ OB Entry indicator 1.19
AO Saucer Bullish indicator 1.18

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPSolid trend
8H
UPSolid trend
12H
UPSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A powerful cluster of bullish momentum signals fired on the 30-minute chart, indicating strong upside pressure.
  • The bullish trend on intermediate timeframes (2h to 12h) supports the signal, but the daily and 15-minute trends are bearish, creating mixed signals.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 112.61300 for a breakout, and the support at 110.81500 as the key invalidation level.
  • The very strong signal strength and 94% probability suggest high confidence, but the daily bearish trend warrants caution.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish momentum signals, including MOM Zero Cross Up, ROC Zero Cross Up, ROCR Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, T3 Retreat Up, AO Saucer Bullish, FISHER Zero Cross Up, and KDJ OB Entry. This broad-based momentum confluence suggests a strong short-term upside push, with the very strong signal strength and 94% probability reflecting a high degree of alignment among the indicators. The immediate trend across the 30-minute and 1-hour timeframes is still bearish, but the momentum signals are pointing to a potential reversal or bounce, supported by the bullish trend structure on the 2-hour, 4-hour, 8-hour, and 12-hour charts.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 112.61300 and support at 110.81500. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal and open the path toward higher time frame targets, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the signal. The mixed trend picture across timeframes—bearish on the 15-minute and daily, but bullish on the intermediate charts—suggests this is a counter-trend move within a larger consolidation. Traders should monitor whether the momentum can sustain and push price through resistance, as the daily bearish trend remains a headwind.
Catalysts
  • Multiple momentum oscillators (MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCH KD, FISHER) all crossing zero or signaling upward, creating a strong confluence.
  • AO Saucer Bullish and T3 Retreat Up add pattern-based confirmation of bullish momentum.
  • The bullish trend on the 2h, 4h, 8h, and 12h timeframes provides a supportive backdrop for a bounce.
  • The signal strength is 'very strong' with a 94% probability, reflecting high indicator agreement.
Risk Factors
  • The 15-minute and daily timeframes are bearish, which could cap upside or lead to a false breakout.
  • If price fails to break above the nearest resistance at 112.61300, the bullish momentum may fade.
  • A drop below the nearest support at 110.81500 would invalidate the signal and could accelerate selling.
  • The 30-minute trend is still bearish, so this could be a counter-trend rally rather than a sustained reversal.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 97%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-09-18 23:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 112.61300 2026-09-18
S1 110.81500 2026-09-18
S2 110.56200 2026-09-17
S3 110.42400 2026-09-16

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