LTC/USDT – 4H – SELL
SELL 4× UPDATED
1 day ago
57.9 %
↓ −5.0 zur Vorkerze
MODERATE
⚡ Confluence +7%
Swing
▲ Bullish 27 % (4.51)
▼ Bearish 73 % (12.21)
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
45.8% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 73.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 7 Kerzen
⚠ Opened against the trend in
6 of 8 timeframes.
Target hit 21.0 %
vs 37.3 % average ·
stopped out 31.9 %
vs 20.0 %
(Crypto, 520 closed runs).
Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.
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Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(19 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTC, updated 4× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | RSI OB Exit | indicator | 2.86 |
| ▲ | WILLR OB Exit | indicator | 2.75 |
| ▲ | CMO OB Exit | indicator | 2.74 |
| ▲ | KDJ OB Exit | indicator | 2.56 |
| ▲ | ULTOSC OB Exit | indicator | 2.09 |
| ▼ | ZSCORE Extreme High Exit | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▼ | KDJ Cross Down | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.43 |
| ▼ | ER Level Cross Down | indicator | 1.43 |
| ▼ | SMI Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.42 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.38 |
| ▼ | TTM TREND Trend Down | indicator | 1.15 |
| ▼ | KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat | indicator | 1.04 |
| ▼ | Marubozu Bearish | candlestick | 0.95 |
| ▼ | Tweezers Top | candlestick | 0.91 |
| ▼ | Last Engulfing Top | candlestick | 0.79 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.75 |
| ▼ | Last Engulfing Bottom | candlestick | 0.67 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNSolid trend
1HUPVery strong trend
2HUPVery strong trend
4HUPSolid trend
8HUPSolid trend
12HUPTrend forming
1DUPSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- 4H sell signal is a pullback within a broader bullish trend, not a trend reversal.
- Overbought indicators on the 4H are flashing, but higher timeframes remain bullish.
- Watch the 50.20000 support; a break could open the door to further downside.
- Weak signal strength and 56% probability suggest limited downside conviction.
The 4H LTC/USDT signal is a SELL with weak strength, driven by a cluster of overbought exits and momentum cross-downs, including BOP Zero Cross Down, CMO OB Exit, RSI OB Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down, ULTOSC OB Exit, WILLR OB Exit, ER Level Cross Down, and KDJ Cross Down, plus additional indicators and candlestick patterns. This suggests that the recent upward move has become overextended on the 4H timeframe, and short-term momentum is turning lower. However, the broader trend remains bullish across most timeframes, with strong bullish trends on the 1H and 2H, and solid bullish trends on the 4H, 8H, and 1D. The sell signal is therefore a counter-trend pullback signal within a larger uptrend, and its weak strength reflects the conflicting higher-timeframe alignment.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 59.46000 and the nearest support at 50.20000. A break below the support would confirm a deeper pullback, while holding above it could allow the bullish trend to resume. The signal's probability of 56% is modest, and the weak strength suggests limited downside conviction. Traders should monitor price action around these levels, as the confluence of overbought exits on the 4H with a bullish higher timeframe creates a scenario where the pullback may be shallow unless the support is broken.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 59.46000 and the nearest support at 50.20000. A break below the support would confirm a deeper pullback, while holding above it could allow the bullish trend to resume. The signal's probability of 56% is modest, and the weak strength suggests limited downside conviction. Traders should monitor price action around these levels, as the confluence of overbought exits on the 4H with a bullish higher timeframe creates a scenario where the pullback may be shallow unless the support is broken.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple overbought exits (RSI, CMO, ULTOSC, WILLR) align to signal a momentum shift.
- ▼ Momentum cross-downs (STOCH, KDJ, ER) add confluence for a short-term pullback.
- ▼ Nearest resistance at 59.46000 caps upside, providing a clear invalidation level for shorts.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, 1D) are bullish, which could overpower the 4H sell signal.
- ▲ The signal is weak and low probability, so the pullback may be shallow or fail.
- ▲ If price breaks above 59.46000, the bearish thesis is invalidated and the trend could resume upward.
- ▲ A strong bullish trend on 1H and 2H suggests buyers may step in quickly on dips.
Symbol
LTC/USDT
Timeframe
4H
Direction
SELL
Conviction
73%
Strength
MODERATE
Date
2026-09-19 04:00
cat_ Crypto
Crypto
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 59.46000 | 2026-09-07 |
| S1 | 50.20000 | 2026-09-16 |
| S2 | 47.41000 | 2026-08-30 |
| S3 | 43.84000 | 2026-08-17 |