USD/CHF – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-09-18 23:00 UTC 45 minutes ago

61.0 % – erste Kerze

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 7 % (1.29) ▼ Bearish 93 % (17.92)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 93.3 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (20 Sep 2026, 20:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.08
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.96
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	1.87
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.61
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.56
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.52
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.49
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.49
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.48
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.48
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.29

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

UPSolid trend

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish momentum on the 30-minute and 15-minute charts, with a trendline break and multiple moving-average retreats.
The sell signal is counter-trend against the bullish higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, daily), so treat it as a pullback trade.
Watch the nearest support at 0.81817; a break below it confirms further downside, while a reclaim of 0.82596 invalidates the signal.
Momentum indicators (STOCHF) are aligned with the downside, but the trend is not yet fully established on the 30-minute chart.

The USD/CHF 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and reinforced by multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) plus a STOCHF KD Cross Down. The sheer number of aligned indicators on the lower timeframes points to strong selling pressure in the short term, with the trendline break acting as the primary trigger. Momentum is clearly favoring the downside on the 15-minute and 30-minute charts, where trend scores are solid or forming, and the price is now pressing toward the nearest support at 0.81817.

However, the higher timeframes tell a different story: the 4-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily charts are all bullish, with the 8-hour and 12-hour showing solid trends. This creates a clear conflict between the short-term bearish momentum and the longer-term bullish structure. The sell signal is therefore best viewed as a counter-trend move within a larger uptrend, likely a pullback rather than a reversal. Key levels to watch are the resistance at 0.82596 (the broken trendline area) and the support at 0.81817; a break below support would open the door to further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish case.

Catalysts

▼ Trendline Break Down is a high-conviction trigger, reinforced by multiple moving-average retreat signals (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA).
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down confirms bearish momentum at the short-term timeframe.
▼ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are aligned bearish, supporting the immediate downside move.
▼ The cluster of 12 signals across trendline and indicator groups increases the probability of the move continuing.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, daily) are bullish, so the sell signal may be a pullback within an uptrend, limiting downside potential.
▲ The 30-minute trend is only 'forming' (2/5), indicating the bearish trend is not yet fully established.
▲ If the price reclaims the resistance at 0.82596, the bearish setup is invalidated and a bounce toward higher levels is possible.
▲ The 1-hour and 2-hour trends are choppy/sideways, which could lead to range-bound behavior rather than a clear downtrend.