USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-09-18 23:00 UTC 45 minutes ago

61.0 % – erste Kerze

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 92 % (15.82) ▼ Bearish 8 % (1.41)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 91.8 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (20 Sep 2026, 20:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.63
▲	ZLMA Break Up	indicator	2.59
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.41
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.97
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.95
▲	T3 Retreat Up	indicator	1.64
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.41

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A cluster of bullish indicators fired on the 30-minute chart, suggesting strong short-term buying momentum.
Higher timeframes (2h to 12h) are bullish, but lower timeframes (15m to 1h) are bearish, creating a mixed trend picture.
The daily trend is very strongly bearish, which could limit upside potential.
Watch the 158.05200 level closely—it is both the nearest resistance and support, making it a critical pivot.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bullish indicators, including T3 Retreat Up, AO Saucer Bullish, ER Level Cross Down, SMI Signal Cross Up, and breakouts on ALMA, HMA, and ZLMA. This confluence suggests strong short-term buying momentum, with the probability rated at 91% and very strong strength. However, the immediate trend context is mixed: the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes are bearish, while higher timeframes (2h through 12h) are bullish, and the daily trend is very strongly bearish. This creates a conflicting picture, and the signal's success depends on whether the bullish momentum can overcome the lower-timeframe bearish pressure.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 158.05200 and support at 158.05200 (note: the nearest support is listed as 158.05200, which appears to be the same as resistance; this may be a data issue, but traders should monitor the price action around this level). A break above resistance would confirm the bullish move, while a failure to hold above support could invalidate the signal. The alignment of multiple moving average breakouts and oscillator signals provides a strong short-term confluence, but the bearish daily trend remains a significant headwind.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple moving average breakouts (ALMA, HMA, ZLMA) confirm upward momentum.
▲ Oscillator signals (AO Saucer Bullish, SMI Signal Cross Up) align with the bullish move.
▲ Higher timeframe trends (2h-12h) are bullish, providing a supportive backdrop.
▲ Very strong signal strength and high probability (91%) increase confidence in the short-term move.

Risk Factors

▼ Lower timeframe trends (15m, 30m, 1h) are bearish, which could counter the bullish signal.
▼ The daily trend is very strongly bearish, potentially capping upside.
▼ The nearest support and resistance are at the same price (158.05200), indicating a tight range and possible indecision.
▼ If price falls below the support level, the bullish signal would be invalidated.