TRX/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-09-20 14:30 UTC 1 hour ago

37.9 % ↓ −25.9 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 13 % (1.94) ▼ Bearish 87 % (12.99)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

54.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 8.1 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.2 % vs 37.3 % average · stopped out 45.0 % vs 20.0 % (Crypto, 678 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (20 Sep 2026, 15:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.03
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	1.85
▼	STC OB Entry	indicator	1.48
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▼	Long Line Bearish	candlestick	1.12
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	0.99
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	0.69

Trend Context

15M

UPVery strong trend

30M

UPVery strong trend

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Short-term momentum has turned bearish after an overextended rally, with multiple oscillators exiting overbought territory.
The broader trend remains strongly bullish on higher timeframes, so this is likely a pullback within an uptrend.
Watch the nearest support at 0.33710; a break below it would confirm a deeper correction.
The signal is strong (83% probability) but conflicts with the bullish higher-timeframe trend.

The 30-minute chart for TRX/USDT has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including RSI OB Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down, SMI Signal Cross Down, STC OB Entry, HMA Break Down, KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat, and ZSCORE Extreme High Exit. This confluence indicates that the recent upward move has become overextended on the short-term timeframe, with multiple momentum oscillators rolling over from overbought conditions. The HMA Break Down and KELTNER Upper retreat suggest that price is losing upside momentum and may be starting a corrective phase.

However, the broader trend structure remains strongly bullish across all timeframes, with very strong trend scores on the 15m, 30m, and 1h charts. This creates a conflict between the short-term bearish signals and the higher-timeframe bullish trend. The nearest support is at 0.33710, which is a critical level to watch. If price holds above this support, the pullback could be shallow and the bullish trend may resume. Conversely, a break below this level would strengthen the bearish case and could signal a deeper correction.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals (RSI, STOCHF, SMI, STC, HMA, KELTNER, ZSCORE) on the 30m timeframe.
▼ Overbought conditions indicated by RSI and ZSCORE extreme high exit, suggesting exhaustion of buying pressure.
▼ HMA Break Down and KELTNER Upper retreat confirm loss of upside momentum.
▼ Strong trend scores on lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) may have been overextended, increasing the likelihood of a short-term correction.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h) remain bullish and very strong, which could overpower the short-term bearish signals.
▲ The nearest support at 0.33710 is relatively close; if it holds, the pullback may be shallow and the trend could resume upward.
▲ Momentum signals can be noisy in strong trends; the bearish signals may be premature if price quickly regains upside momentum.
▲ Watch for a break below 0.33710 as invalidation for the bullish thesis; otherwise, the bearish move may be limited.