AUD/CAD – 30M – BUY
BUY 1× UPDATED
1 hour ago
39.7 %
↓ −19.6 zur Vorkerze
WEAK
⚡ Confluence +3%
Scalping
▲ Bullish 91 % (36.13)
▼ Bearish 9 % (3.51)
6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 30.3 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 4 Kerzen
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Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(21 Sep 2026, 10:30 UTC, updated 1× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Trendline Break Upbreak + retest | trendline | 3.00 |
| ▲ | TEMA Break Up | indicator | 2.81 |
| ▲ | ALMA Break Up | indicator | 2.43 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 2.21 |
| ▲ | DEMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.16 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.16 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.13 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.05 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.89 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.84 |
| ▲ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.84 |
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.77 |
| ▲ | Spinning Top Bullish | candlestick | 1.16 |
Trend Context
15MUPSolid trend
30MUPTrend forming
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HUPTrend forming
4HUPChoppy / sideways
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HUPChoppy / sideways
1DUPChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bullish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart, with multiple indicators confirming upward momentum.
- Trend alignment is mostly bullish across timeframes, though higher timeframes are choppy, suggesting a cautious approach.
- Key support at 0.99362 is the critical level to watch; a break below would negate the bullish bias.
- The 8-hour timeframe is bearish but choppy, adding a layer of uncertainty to the overall trend.
The AUD/CAD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, and multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE), all pointing to strong upward momentum. The confluence of these signals across candlestick, trendline, and indicator groups suggests a robust short-term bullish push. The trend across timeframes is predominantly bullish, with the 15-minute and 30-minute charts showing solid or forming trends, while higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H, 12H, 1D) are bullish but choppy or sideways. The 8-hour chart is the only bearish timeframe, but it is also choppy, indicating limited downside pressure. The nearest support is at 0.99362, which serves as a key level to watch; a break below this would invalidate the bullish setup. The nearest resistance is not defined, so the upside may be open, but traders should monitor for potential resistance levels on higher timeframes.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE) all pointing up, indicating strong trend confirmation.
- ▲ Trendline Break Up and STOCH KD Cross Up add technical confluence, increasing the reliability of the signal.
- ▲ The majority of timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H, 2H, 4H, 12H, 1D) are bullish, supporting the upward direction.
- ▲ High signal probability (100%) and very strong strength suggest a high-confidence setup.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframes (1H, 4H, 12H, 1D) are bullish but choppy, which could lead to false breakouts or range-bound price action.
- ▼ The 8-hour timeframe is bearish, which may act as a counter-trend force if the pair approaches that level.
- ▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.99362 would invalidate the bullish signals and could trigger a sharp reversal.
- ▼ Momentum could fade if the price fails to follow through after the initial surge, especially given the choppy higher-timeframe trends.
Symbol
AUD/CAD
Timeframe
30M
Direction
BUY
Conviction
30%
Strength
WEAK
Date
2026-09-21 13:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| S1 | 0.99362 | 2026-09-21 |
| S2 | 0.98997 | 2026-09-16 |
| S3 | 0.98932 | 2026-09-15 |