AUD/CAD – 4H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-09-21 16:00 UTC 15 hours ago

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 85 % (9.25) ▼ Bearish 15 % (1.68)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

45.5% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 8.4 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 4 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Ascending Trianglebreak + retest	chart_pattern	2.95
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.70
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.45
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.41
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.28
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.27
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.06
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.03
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.02
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	0.70
▲	SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Up	indicator3	0.00

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal on the 4H chart, with multiple indicators aligning.
Ascending Triangle pattern suggests potential for a breakout higher.
Higher timeframes are bullish, but lower timeframes are bearish—watch for confirmation.
Key levels: resistance at 0.99901, support at 0.98900.

The AUD/CAD 4H signal is a strong BUY, firing a cluster of bullish signals including an Ascending Triangle pattern, multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT), and a BOP zero cross up. The Ascending Triangle suggests accumulation and a potential breakout, while the retreats indicate that price is pulling back within an uptrend, offering a potential entry point. The BOP zero cross up adds buying pressure confirmation. The overall trend alignment is mixed: the 4H and higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bullish but choppy, while the lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H, 2H) are bearish. This suggests a pullback within a larger bullish structure. The key resistance is at 0.99901, and support is at 0.98900; a break above resistance could confirm the bullish continuation, while a break below support would invalidate the setup.

Catalysts

▲ Ascending Triangle pattern provides a clear bullish structure.
▲ Multiple moving average retreats indicate a pullback within an uptrend.
▲ BOP zero cross up shows improving buying pressure.
▲ Bullish alignment on 4H and higher timeframes supports the upside.

Risk Factors

▼ Lower timeframes (15m-2H) are bearish, which could lead to further downside before reversal.
▼ Choppy/sideways trend on higher timeframes may limit momentum.
▼ A break below support at 0.98900 would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ The signal includes a STOCH KD Cross Down and AROON Strong Downtrend, which are bearish and could conflict.