AUD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 110× UPDATED

2026-09-21 05:00 UTC 5 days ago

61.0 % – zur Vorkerze

VERY STRONG Intraday

▲ Bullish 95 % (49.17) ▼ Bearish 5 % (2.49)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

57.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 95.2 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 11 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Sep 2026, 03:00 UTC, updated 110× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	EMA 50 Retreat Up	indicator	2.12
▲	SMA 50 Retreat Up	indicator	2.12
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.76
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.76
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.74
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.25
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	1.19
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	1.14
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	1.10
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	0.89

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

UPSolid trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bullish momentum cluster on the 1H chart suggests a short-term buying opportunity.
Higher timeframes (2H to 12H) are bullish, but the daily trend is bearish, so this may be a counter-trend rally.
Watch the nearest resistance at 112.61300; a break could open room for further upside, while support at 111.43800 is the key invalidation zone.
The signal is very strong (88% probability), but the mixed trend across timeframes warrants caution.

The 1H AUD/JPY signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish momentum indicators: BOP Zero Cross Up, CMO Zero Cross Up, RSI Midline Cross Up, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, EMA 50 Retreat Up, SMA 50 Retreat Up, CTI OB Entry, and ERI BULL Zero Cross Down, among others. This confluence suggests a strong short-term buying impulse, with the probability score at 88% and very strong strength. The signal is supported by a bullish structure on the 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes, where trends are forming or solid. However, the 15M, 30M, and 1H timeframes are still bearish or choppy, and the 1D trend is bearish, indicating that this is a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance is at 112.61300, while support is at 111.43800. The signal suggests a short-term long opportunity, but traders should be cautious given the mixed higher-timeframe alignment.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCHRSI) all crossing above their midlines or zero lines, confirming buying pressure.
▲ EMA 50 and SMA 50 retreating upward indicate that price is pulling back to moving averages and bouncing, a classic bullish continuation setup.
▲ Bullish trends on the 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes provide a supportive backdrop for the 1H signal.
▲ CTI OB Entry and ERI BULL Zero Cross Down add further confluence, increasing the reliability of the signal.

Risk Factors

▼ The 1H trend is still bearish and choppy, so the signal may be a false bounce within a larger downtrend.
▼ The daily (1D) trend is bearish and solid, which could overpower the shorter-term bullish momentum.
▼ If price fails to hold above the nearest support at 111.43800, the bullish setup is invalidated and could lead to a sharp decline.
▼ The 15M and 30M timeframes are bearish, suggesting that the immediate momentum may not yet have turned, and the signal could be early.