AUD/JPY – 2H – BUY

BUY 50× UPDATED

2026-09-21 14:00 UTC 4 days ago

61.0 % – erste Kerze

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +60% Intraday

▲ Bullish 94 % (69.82) ▼ Bearish 6 % (4.16)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

55.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 94.4 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Sep 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 50× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Bull Flagbreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.79
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.95
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.93
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.83
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.83
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.80
▲	ULTOSC OB Exit	indicator	2.70
▲	SAR Flip Bullish	indicator	2.63
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.53
▲	MAMA PRICE Break Up	indicator	2.10
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.87
▼	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.66
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▲	Long Line Bullish	candlestick	1.27
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	1.12

Trend Context

15M

UPVery strong trend

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

UPSolid trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish 2H signal with 94% probability and very strong strength, driven by a Bull Flag and multiple moving average retreats.
Trend is bullish across all intraday timeframes, but the daily trend is bearish, creating a potential conflict.
Watch nearest resistance at 112.61300; a break could extend gains, while rejection may lead to a pullback.
Support at 110.42400 is the key level to watch for invalidation if price reverses.

The AUD/JPY 2H signal is strongly bullish, with a 94% probability and very strong strength, driven by a confluence of technical signals including a Bull Flag pattern, multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, and midpoint), a break above the MAMA price line, and an upward trendline retreat. The signal groups (indicator, candlestick, chart_pattern) all align in the bullish direction, reinforcing the conviction behind the move. Across timeframes, the trend is bullish from the 15-minute up to the 8-hour, with the 15-minute showing a very strong trend (4/5) and the 8-hour showing a solid trend (3/5). The 1-hour is choppy but still bullish, and the 4-hour is forming a trend. However, the daily timeframe is bearish, which suggests a potential longer-term resistance that could cap upside.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 112.61300 and support at 110.42400. The bullish signals suggest a push toward resistance, but the daily bearish trend indicates that this could be a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend. Traders should monitor how price behaves at resistance; a break above could signal further upside, while a rejection could lead to a pullback toward support. The confluence of signals across multiple groups and timeframes supports the bullish case, but the daily trend remains a significant headwind.

Catalysts

▲ Strong confluence of signals across indicator, candlestick, and chart pattern groups.
▲ Bullish alignment on 15m, 30m, 2h, 4h, 8h, and 12h timeframes, with 15m showing very strong trend strength.
▲ Multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, midpoint) and a break above MAMA price line indicate upward momentum.
▲ Bull Flag pattern suggests a continuation of the prior bullish move.

Risk Factors

▼ Daily timeframe is bearish, which could limit upside or trigger a reversal.
▼ 1-hour trend is choppy, indicating indecision at that level.
▼ Nearest resistance at 112.61300 may act as a strong barrier; failure to break could lead to a pullback.
▼ Watch support at 110.42400; a break below would invalidate the bullish setup.