AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 7× UPDATED

2026-09-21 10:00 UTC 16 hours ago

46.9 % ↑ +11.6 zur Vorkerze

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +2% Scalping

▲ Bullish 92 % (37.70) ▼ Bearish 8 % (3.50)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 37.4 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 13 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Sep 2026, 07:30 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KAMA Break Up	indicator	2.89
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.88
▲	DEMA Break Up	indicator	2.78
▲	BBANDS UPPER Break Up	indicator	2.55
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.36
▲	SUPERTREND Flip Bullish	indicator	2.20
▲	SMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.18
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.16
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.08
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.04
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.02
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.91
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.81
▲	QQE Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High	indicator	1.00

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

UPSolid trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bullish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart suggests continued upward momentum.
Trend alignment is bullish across all timeframes up to 12 hours, but the daily trend is bearish.
Watch the nearest resistance at 112.61300; a break above could signal further upside.
The nearest support level is your key invalidation zone for the bullish setup.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, with 15 indicators aligning on the buy side. The break above the upper Bollinger Band, combined with multiple moving average breakouts and retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MAMA, MA, and midpoint), indicates strong upward momentum at the short-term timeframe. The confluence of these signals, along with a very strong probability score of 97%, suggests a high-confidence bullish setup.

Across higher timeframes, the trend is bullish from 15 minutes up to 12 hours, with the 2H, 4H, and 8H timeframes showing forming or solid trends. However, the 1-day timeframe remains bearish, which introduces a potential conflict. The nearest resistance at 112.61300 is a key level to watch; a break above it could extend the bullish move, while the nearest support at 112.61300 (likely a typo, but as given) provides a downside reference. Traders should monitor whether the bullish momentum can overcome the daily bearish trend.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of 15 bullish indicators on the 30-minute chart, including Bollinger Band break and multiple moving average breakouts.
▲ Bullish trend alignment across timeframes from 15 minutes to 12 hours, with higher timeframes showing forming or solid trends.
▲ Very strong signal strength and high probability score (97%) indicate robust momentum.
▲ Price is above the upper Bollinger Band, suggesting strong upward pressure.

Risk Factors

▼ The daily timeframe is bearish, which could act as a headwind and limit upside potential.
▼ If price fails to break above the nearest resistance at 112.61300, the bullish momentum may fade.
▼ A break below the nearest support could invalidate the bullish setup and trigger a reversal.
▼ The 15-minute and 30-minute trends are choppy/sideways, which may lead to false breakouts.