AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-09-21 13:00 UTC 1 hour ago

35.3 % – zur Vorkerze

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +2% Scalping

▲ Bullish 15 % (1.75) ▼ Bearish 85 % (10.28)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

54.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 6.1 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 4 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 5.1 % vs 17.1 % average · stopped out 9.4 % vs 9.1 % (Forex, 117 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Sep 2026, 10:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.01
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.75
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	1.67
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.29
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	1.18
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.10

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

UPSolid trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a short-term sell opportunity.
The bullish trend on higher timeframes may limit downside, so watch support at 111.447.
A break below support would strengthen the bearish case, while a move above resistance at 112.613 would invalidate it.
The daily chart's bearish trend adds weight to the sell signal, but conflicting timeframes warrant caution.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, T3 Retreat Down, AO Saucer Bearish, KDJ Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down, TTM TREND Trend Down, and a Bearish Spinning Top candlestick. The ER Level Cross Up adds a momentum shift component to the mix. Together, these signals point to a short-term loss of upward momentum and a likely pullback or reversal from recent highs.

While the broader trend across timeframes remains predominantly bullish from 15 minutes up to 12 hours, the daily chart shows a solid bearish trend, and the 1-hour trend is choppy/sideways. This suggests that the bearish signals on the 30-minute chart may be the start of a corrective move within a larger bullish structure, or the beginning of a more significant decline if the daily bearish pressure takes over. Key levels to watch are resistance at 112.613 and support at 111.447. A break below support would confirm bearish continuation, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish indicators (BOP, T3, AO, KDJ, HMA, TTM) on the 30-minute chart.
▼ Bearish candlestick pattern (Spinning Top) confirms indecision and potential reversal.
▼ Daily chart shows a solid bearish trend, aligning with the sell signal.
▼ High probability (85%) and very strong strength score indicate high confidence in the signal.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (15m to 12h) are bullish, which could mean the sell signal is only a pullback within an uptrend.
▲ If price breaks above resistance at 112.613, the bearish setup is invalidated.
▲ The 1-hour trend is choppy/sideways, which may lead to false signals.
▲ Momentum could fade if the bullish trend on higher timeframes reasserts itself.