AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including an Aroon Strong Downtrend, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and WILLR OB Exit, alongside KAMA and MA Retreat Downs and a SAR Flip Bullish (which here acts as a trailing-stop signal within the downtrend). Together, these indicate that selling pressure is intensifying on the short-term timeframe, with momentum turning lower and price retreating from overbought conditions. The 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes are both bearish, with trend scores of 1/5 and 2/5 respectively, suggesting the downtrend is still in its early stages, while the 1-hour chart also shows a bearish trend forming (2/5). However, higher timeframes—2h, 4h, 8h, and 12h—are all bullish, with solid trend scores of 3/5, and the daily chart is bearish again (3/5). This mixed picture means the short-term sell signal is likely a corrective move within a larger bullish structure, so traders should treat it as a scalp or short-term opportunity rather than a major reversal.

Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 112.61300 and nearest support at 111.43800. A break below support would confirm further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The confluence of multiple indicators on the 30-minute chart, combined with the bearish daily trend, supports the sell bias, but the higher-timeframe bullish trends and the weak signal strength (57%, weak) warrant caution. Momentum could fade quickly if price approaches the daily support or if the bullish higher timeframes reassert control.