AUD/JPY – 4H – BUY
BUY NEW
42 minutes ago
61.0 %
– erste Kerze
VERY STRONG
Swing
▲ Bullish 96 % (24.36)
▼ Bearish 4 % (0.96)
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
47.0% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 96.2 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(21 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTC).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Break Up | indicator | 2.90 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Break Up | indicator | 2.86 |
| ▲ | ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.95 |
| ▲ | RSX OB Exit | indicator | 1.87 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.68 |
| ▲ | DEMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.55 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.35 |
| ▲ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up | indicator | 1.27 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.21 |
| ▼ | Hanging Man | candlestick | 0.96 |
| ▲ | TTM TREND Trend Up | indicator | 0.93 |
| ▲ | SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Up | indicator3 | 0.00 |
Trend Context
15MUPTrend forming
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HUPTrend forming
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPSolid trend
12HUPSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bullish confluence across multiple indicators on the 4H chart.
- Higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are solidly bullish, supporting the buy signal.
- Watch resistance at 114.667 and support at 109.661 for breakout or invalidation.
- Daily trend is bearish, so upside may be capped unless daily turns bullish.
A dense cluster of bullish signals has fired on AUD/JPY's 4-hour chart, including STOCHF KD Cross Up, DEMA Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up, MIDPOINT Break Up, MIDPRICE Break Up, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, and ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up. This confluence spans momentum, trend-following, and price-structure indicators, pointing to a strong upward push. The 4-hour trend is bullish and forming, while higher timeframes (8H and 12H) show solid bullish trends, aligning with the buy signal. However, the 1-day timeframe remains bearish, a potential headwind that could limit upside or trigger a reversal.
Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 114.667 and nearest support at 109.661. A break above resistance would confirm continued bullish momentum, while a loss of support would invalidate the setup. The probability score of 96% and very strong strength suggest high conviction, but traders should monitor the daily bearish trend and any signs of momentum fading. The signal time is 2026-09-21 06:00 UTC, and the bullish bias is supported by multiple indicator groups (indicator, indicator3, candlestick), though no specific candlestick pattern is named.
Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 114.667 and nearest support at 109.661. A break above resistance would confirm continued bullish momentum, while a loss of support would invalidate the setup. The probability score of 96% and very strong strength suggest high conviction, but traders should monitor the daily bearish trend and any signs of momentum fading. The signal time is 2026-09-21 06:00 UTC, and the bullish bias is supported by multiple indicator groups (indicator, indicator3, candlestick), though no specific candlestick pattern is named.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple trend-following indicators (DEMA, EMA, KAMA) all retreating up, confirming momentum.
- ▲ Midpoint and midprice break ups signal upward price structure.
- ▲ Higher timeframe alignment (8H, 12H) with solid bullish trends.
- ▲ Very strong signal strength and high probability (96%).
Risk Factors
- ▼ Daily timeframe is bearish, which could pressure the pair and limit gains.
- ▼ If price fails to break resistance at 114.667, bullish momentum may stall.
- ▼ A drop below support at 109.661 would invalidate the bullish setup.
- ▼ Momentum could fade if stochastic or other oscillators turn down.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
4H
Direction
BUY
Conviction
96%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-09-21 04:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 114.66700 | 2026-09-02 |
| R2 | 114.95600 | 2026-08-28 |
| S1 | 109.66100 | 2026-09-14 |
| S2 | 109.23100 | 2026-08-03 |