AUD/JPY – 4H – BUY

BUY NEW
42 minutes ago
61.0 % erste Kerze
VERY STRONG Swing
▲ Bullish 96 % (24.36) ▼ Bearish 4 % (0.96)
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
47.0% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 96.2 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
AUD/JPY  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
MIDPOINT Break Up indicator 2.90
MIDPRICE Break Up indicator 2.86
ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up indicator 1.95
RSX OB Exit indicator 1.87
EMA Retreat Up indicator 1.68
DEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.55
KAMA Retreat Up indicator 1.35
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.27
STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.21
Hanging Man candlestick 0.96
TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 0.93
SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Up indicator3 0.00

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPSolid trend
12H
UPSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish confluence across multiple indicators on the 4H chart.
  • Higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are solidly bullish, supporting the buy signal.
  • Watch resistance at 114.667 and support at 109.661 for breakout or invalidation.
  • Daily trend is bearish, so upside may be capped unless daily turns bullish.
A dense cluster of bullish signals has fired on AUD/JPY's 4-hour chart, including STOCHF KD Cross Up, DEMA Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up, MIDPOINT Break Up, MIDPRICE Break Up, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, and ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up. This confluence spans momentum, trend-following, and price-structure indicators, pointing to a strong upward push. The 4-hour trend is bullish and forming, while higher timeframes (8H and 12H) show solid bullish trends, aligning with the buy signal. However, the 1-day timeframe remains bearish, a potential headwind that could limit upside or trigger a reversal.

Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 114.667 and nearest support at 109.661. A break above resistance would confirm continued bullish momentum, while a loss of support would invalidate the setup. The probability score of 96% and very strong strength suggest high conviction, but traders should monitor the daily bearish trend and any signs of momentum fading. The signal time is 2026-09-21 06:00 UTC, and the bullish bias is supported by multiple indicator groups (indicator, indicator3, candlestick), though no specific candlestick pattern is named.
Catalysts
  • Multiple trend-following indicators (DEMA, EMA, KAMA) all retreating up, confirming momentum.
  • Midpoint and midprice break ups signal upward price structure.
  • Higher timeframe alignment (8H, 12H) with solid bullish trends.
  • Very strong signal strength and high probability (96%).
Risk Factors
  • Daily timeframe is bearish, which could pressure the pair and limit gains.
  • If price fails to break resistance at 114.667, bullish momentum may stall.
  • A drop below support at 109.661 would invalidate the bullish setup.
  • Momentum could fade if stochastic or other oscillators turn down.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 96%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-09-21 04:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 114.66700 2026-09-02
R2 114.95600 2026-08-28
S1 109.66100 2026-09-14
S2 109.23100 2026-08-03

Tags

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