AUD/JPY – 8H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-09-21 16:00 UTC 15 hours ago

59.3 % – zur Vorkerze

MODERATE ⚡ Confluence +12% Swing

▲ Bullish 24 % (14.00) ▼ Bearish 76 % (45.55)

Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.28
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.92
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.81
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.80
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.77
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.72
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	1.13
▼	Bearish Harami Cross	candlestick	0.78

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

UPSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on 8H with multiple indicators and a candlestick pattern aligning.
Short-term timeframes (15m-1h) are bearish, supporting the sell bias.
Higher timeframes (4h-12h) are still bullish, so this may be a pullback within a larger uptrend.
Watch for a move toward support at 109.661; a break below that could confirm a deeper correction.

The AUD/JPY 8H chart has triggered a confluence of bearish signals, including a Bearish Harami Cross candlestick pattern and multiple indicator retreats from upper bands (BBANDS, EMA 200, SMA 200, HMA) alongside BOP zero cross down. While the STOCH KD Cross Up suggests a short-term bounce, the dominant bearish momentum is confirmed by the STOCHF KD Cross Down and the overall signal strength (91%, very strong).

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish in the short term: 15m, 30m, and 1h are bearish with trend scores of 4/5, 3/5, and 2/5 respectively, while higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h) remain bullish. This suggests the sell signal may be a corrective move within a larger uptrend, but the strong short-term bearish alignment and the high probability signal indicate that a retracement toward support is likely. Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 114.956 and nearest support at 109.661.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of bearish signals: BOP zero cross down, BBANDS upper retreat, EMA/SMA/HMA retreats, and Bearish Harami Cross.
▼ Short-term trend alignment across 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes.
▼ Very strong signal strength (91%) and high probability of continuation.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h) are still bullish, which could limit downside and lead to a bounce.
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicates short-term oversold bounce potential.
▲ A break above resistance at 114.956 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Momentum may fade if price holds above support and resumes the larger uptrend.