EUR/AUD – 4H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-09-21 12:00 UTC 47 minutes ago

61.0 % – erste Kerze

VERY STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 7 % (1.89) ▼ Bearish 93 % (24.20)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

47.0% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 92.8 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Loading…

Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	2.40
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.29
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.89
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.81
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.75
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.73
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.63
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.60
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.60
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.60
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.60
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.79

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence: all major moving averages and momentum indicators are aligned to the downside.
All timeframes are bearish, with the 2H and 8H showing trend formation—momentum is building.
Key support at 1.60802; breaking it could open the door for further declines.
Resistance at 1.62266 is the line in the sand—a reclaim would invalidate the bearish signal.

The EUR/AUD 4H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, with all major moving-average families (EMA, DEMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT) in retreat, reinforced by the BOP Zero Cross Down and a retreat from the HT TRENDLINE. This confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators points to persistent selling pressure, and the alignment of bearish trends across all timeframes—from 15m to 1D—supports the notion that the current move is not merely a short-term pullback but part of a broader downtrend. The 2H and 8H timeframes are in the 'trend forming' phase, suggesting the bearish momentum is still developing, which could lead to further downside.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.62266 and support at 1.60802. A sustained break below the support would likely confirm continuation of the downtrend, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. Given the very strong signal strength and the multi-timeframe bearish alignment, the path of least resistance is to the downside, but traders should remain alert to the choppy/sideways nature of most timeframes, which could lead to false breakouts or range-bound trading.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple retreat signals across EMA, DEMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE, and MIDPOINT.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down confirms selling pressure in the market.
▼ Bearish alignment across all timeframes, with 2H and 8H in trend-forming phase.
▼ Very strong signal strength (92% probability) adds conviction to the setup.

Risk Factors

▲ Most timeframes are 'choppy/sideways', which could lead to false signals or range-bound price action.
▲ A break above the 1.62266 resistance would invalidate the bearish thesis.
▲ The 1D timeframe is only mildly bearish (1/5), suggesting the larger trend may lack momentum.
▲ Momentum could fade if price fails to break below the 1.60802 support quickly.