EUR/JPY – 30M – BUY
BUY 7× UPDATED
16 hours ago
46.9 %
↑ +11.6 zur Vorkerze
WEAK
⚡ Confluence +26%
Scalping
▲ Bullish 94 % (61.99)
▼ Bearish 6 % (4.17)
6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 40.1 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 13 Kerzen
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Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(21 Sep 2026, 07:30 UTC, updated 7× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | ALMA Break Up | indicator | 2.99 |
| ▲ | DEMA Break Up | indicator | 2.93 |
| ▲ | BBANDS UPPER Break Up | indicator | 2.84 |
| ▲ | EMA Break Up | indicator | 2.55 |
| ▲ | SMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.16 |
| ▲ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.15 |
| ▲ | EMA 50 Retreat Up | indicator | 2.05 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.96 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 1.90 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.88 |
| ▲ | AROON Strong Uptrend | indicator | 1.82 |
| ▲ | AROON Cross Up | indicator | 1.79 |
| ▲ | AROONOSC Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.79 |
| ▲ | MACD Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.76 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.75 |
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.66 |
| ▲ | ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.51 |
| ▲ | TSI Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▲ | SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.36 |
| ▼ | ZSCORE Extreme High | indicator | 1.00 |
| ▲ | VORTEX Cross Up | indicator | 0.92 |
| ▲ | Three Outside Up | candlestick | 0.89 |
Trend Context
15MUPTrend forming
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HUPTrend forming
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPSolid trend
12HUPVery strong trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bullish momentum on the 30-minute chart, backed by a cluster of indicator signals.
- Trends are bullish across most timeframes, with the 12-hour showing a very strong uptrend.
- Resistance at 181.545 is the immediate upside target; support at 179.843 is the key invalidation level.
- Daily trend is bearish, so this could be a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend.
The EUR/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including an Aroon Cross Up, MACD Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, and a break above the upper Bollinger Band, alongside multiple moving-average breakouts. Together, these indicate strong short-term upward momentum and a shift in market structure to the upside. The alignment is reinforced by a bullish trend across most timeframes, from 15 minutes up to 12 hours, with the 12-hour trend rated as very strong. The 1-hour and 30-minute trends are still choppy, but the higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h) are forming or confirming bullish trends, suggesting the move has broader support.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 181.545 and the nearest support at 179.843. A sustained break above resistance could open the path for further upside, while a move back below support would invalidate the bullish setup. The main caveat is the daily timeframe, which is still in a solid bearish trend, so this rally may be a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend. Traders should monitor price action at these levels and watch for any signs of momentum fading, especially given the high probability score and the potential for overextension after such a rapid move.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 181.545 and the nearest support at 179.843. A sustained break above resistance could open the path for further upside, while a move back below support would invalidate the bullish setup. The main caveat is the daily timeframe, which is still in a solid bearish trend, so this rally may be a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend. Traders should monitor price action at these levels and watch for any signs of momentum fading, especially given the high probability score and the potential for overextension after such a rapid move.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple indicators (Aroon, MACD, Stochastic, Bollinger Bands) are aligned bullish, increasing signal reliability.
- ▲ Bullish trend alignment across 15m to 12h timeframes, with the 12h trend rated very strong.
- ▲ Price breaking above upper Bollinger Band and key moving averages suggests strong buying pressure.
- ▲ High probability score (98%) and very strong strength rating indicate a high-conviction setup.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Daily timeframe is bearish (solid trend), which could limit upside or lead to a reversal.
- ▼ The 30-minute and 1-hour trends are still choppy, so the move may lack sustained follow-through.
- ▼ Price is near resistance at 181.545; a rejection there could trigger a pullback.
- ▼ Overbought conditions (e.g., upper Bollinger Band break) may lead to a short-term correction.
Symbol
EUR/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
BUY
Conviction
40%
Strength
WEAK
Date
2026-09-21 10:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 181.54500 | 2026-09-18 |
| S1 | 179.84300 | 2026-09-21 |
| S2 | 179.74300 | 2026-09-18 |
| S3 | 178.93400 | 2026-09-18 |