GBP/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 106× UPDATED

2026-09-21 10:00 UTC 5 days ago

61.0 % – zur Vorkerze

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +1% Intraday

▲ Bullish 93 % (35.98) ▼ Bearish 7 % (2.72)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

57.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 93.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 6 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTC, updated 106× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MIDPOINT Break Up	indicator	2.90
▲	SMA Break Up	indicator	2.56
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.48
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.99
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.92
▲	BIAS Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.84
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.82
▲	SMA 50 Retreat Up	indicator	1.77
▲	SAR Flip Bullish	indicator	1.75
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.64
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.61
▲	COPPOCK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▲	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▲	AROON Strong Uptrend	indicator	1.42
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▲	STC Level Cross Up	indicator	1.34
▼	WILLR OB Entry	indicator	0.85
▲	Closing Marubozu Bullish	candlestick	0.84

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

UPSolid trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple momentum and trend indicators align on the 1H chart, signaling a very strong bullish move.
The bullish trend is supported across lower and mid timeframes, but the daily trend is bearish—watch for conflict.
Key resistance is at 211.27300; a break above could extend gains. Support at 207.86400 is the invalidation level.
The high probability (94%) suggests strong conviction, but always manage risk given the daily bearish bias.

The GBP/JPY 1H signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 94% probability and very strong strength, driven by a confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators. The AROON Strong Uptrend, SAR Flip Bullish, and MIDPOINT Break Up all confirm that buyers are in control, while the EMA, KAMA, MAMA PRICE, and MIDPRICE Retreat Ups indicate that pullbacks are being bought, suggesting healthy trend continuation. The additional candlestick signals reinforce the bullish narrative, adding weight to the setup.

Across timeframes, the bullish bias is consistent from the 15-minute up to the 12-hour chart, with the 8H and 12H showing solid trends. However, the 1D trend is bearish, which poses a potential headwind. The nearest resistance at 211.27300 is the immediate upside target; a break above could open the door to further gains. Conversely, the nearest support at 207.86400 is the key level to watch—if price loses this, the bullish setup would be invalidated.

Catalysts

▲ Strong alignment of AROON, SAR, and MIDPOINT signals on the 1H timeframe.
▲ Pullback signals (EMA, KAMA, MAMA, MIDPRICE Retreat Up) indicate buyers are stepping in on dips.
▲ Bullish trends on 8H and 12H provide a solid higher-timeframe tailwind.
▲ High signal probability (94%) and very strong strength reflect robust momentum.

Risk Factors

▼ The daily (1D) trend is bearish, which could cap upside or trigger a reversal.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 207.86400 would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ Momentum may fade if price fails to break resistance at 211.27300, leading to consolidation or a pullback.
▼ Choppy/sideways trends on 30m and 1H suggest potential for false signals or whipsaws.