GBP/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-09-21 13:00 UTC 41 minutes ago

55.7 % – erste Kerze

MODERATE ⚡ Confluence +1% Intraday

▲ Bullish 28 % (3.62) ▼ Bearish 72 % (9.28)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

51.8% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 71.9 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 5.1 % vs 17.1 % average · stopped out 9.4 % vs 9.1 % (Forex, 117 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Sep 2026, 11:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.82
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.77
▼	ZLMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.74
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.52
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▲	SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire	indicator	1.25
▲	Takuri Line	candlestick	1.20
▲	Dragonfly Doji	candlestick	1.15
▼	Bearish Tri-Star	candlestick	0.91

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

UPSolid trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum signals on the 1H chart, but the broader trend is still bullish across most timeframes.
Watch the nearest support at 207.864 — a break below confirms the sell signal.
Resistance at 211.273 is the invalidation level; a move above it negates the bearish case.
Candlestick patterns (Dragonfly Doji, Takuri Line) suggest indecision and possible reversal, but need confirmation.

The 1H GBP/JPY chart is flashing a cluster of bearish signals — the BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, and a Squeeze Fire — all pointing to fading upward momentum. The candlestick patterns, a Dragonfly Doji and a Takuri Line, add a note of indecision and potential reversal. However, the broader trend remains bullish across most timeframes, with the 15m, 8h, and 12h showing solid bullish trends (3/5). The 1H itself is only mildly bullish and choppy, which aligns with the bearish signal firing at this level. The key levels to watch are resistance at 211.273 and support at 207.864. A break below the nearest support would confirm the bearish reversal, while a hold above it could see the pair resume its larger uptrend.

Given the mixed timeframe alignment, this signal should be treated with caution. The bearish signals are short-term and may simply represent a pullback within a larger bullish trend. The daily timeframe is bearish, which does provide some longer-term support for the sell signal, but the intermediate timeframes are all bullish. The moderate strength and 71% probability suggest a decent edge, but traders should wait for confirmation, such as a close below the nearest support, before committing. The invalidation level is the recent swing high around 211.273; a break above that would negate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ A cluster of bearish signals (BOP, STOCH, BBANDS, Squeeze) aligning on the 1H timeframe.
▼ The daily timeframe is bearish, offering longer-term support for the sell.
▼ The 1H trend is choppy/sideways, reducing the strength of the bullish trend at this level.
▼ The presence of reversal candlestick patterns (Dragonfly Doji, Takuri Line) adds confluence.

Risk Factors

▲ The higher timeframes (15m to 12h) are all bullish, which could overpower the short-term bearish signal.
▲ The 1H trend is only mildly bullish, but a break above resistance at 211.273 would invalidate the setup.
▲ The bearish signals may be part of a pullback within a larger uptrend, not a full reversal.
▲ Momentum could fade if the pair holds above the nearest support and resumes its bullish trend.