GBP/JPY – 2H – SELL
SELL NEW
45 minutes ago
59.3 %
– erste Kerze
STRONG
Intraday
▲ Bullish 19 % (3.30)
▼ Bearish 81 % (13.94)
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
51.6% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 80.8 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(27 Sep 2026, 22:00 UTC).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | HMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.37 |
| ▼ | SMA 200 Retreat Down | indicator | 2.32 |
| ▲ | HT SINE Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.83 |
| ▼ | VORTEX Cross Down | indicator | 1.72 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.70 |
| ▼ | AROON Cross Down | indicator | 1.63 |
| ▼ | AROONOSC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.63 |
| ▲ | Long Legged Doji | candlestick | 0.92 |
| ▼ | WILLR OB Entry | indicator | 0.70 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNVery strong trend
30MDOWNSolid trend
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HUPTrend forming
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPSolid trend
12HUPSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish momentum on the 2H chart with multiple indicators aligning for a sell.
- Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are bearish, supporting the downside, but higher timeframes (2H-12H) are still bullish.
- Key support at 207.864 is the immediate downside target; resistance at 211.273 is the invalidation level.
- High probability (80%) and strong signal strength, but the bullish higher timeframes suggest this may be a correction.
The 2H chart for GBP/JPY has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including an Aroon Cross Down, an Aroon Oscillator Zero Cross Down, a Balance of Power Zero Cross Down, a Williams %R overbought entry, an SMA 200 retreat down, an HMA retreat down, and a Vortex Cross Down. Together, these indicate a strong shift in short-term momentum from bullish to bearish, with sellers gaining control after a period of upside. The bearish alignment on the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes supports the immediate downside, while the higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) remain bullish, suggesting this is a corrective pullback within a larger uptrend. The daily timeframe is bearish, adding a layer of confluence. Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 211.273 and nearest support at 207.864; a break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.
Traders should note the strong probability (80%) and strong signal strength, but the conflicting higher timeframe trends warrant caution. The bearish momentum is likely to target the support at 207.864, but a failure to hold below recent lows could lead to a bounce. The SMA 200 retreat down and HMA retreat down suggest that price is pulling back from overbought conditions, and the Williams %R overbought entry aligns with this. The overall picture is a short-term bearish correction within a broader bullish structure, so traders should manage risk accordingly and watch for signs of reversal near support levels.
Traders should note the strong probability (80%) and strong signal strength, but the conflicting higher timeframe trends warrant caution. The bearish momentum is likely to target the support at 207.864, but a failure to hold below recent lows could lead to a bounce. The SMA 200 retreat down and HMA retreat down suggest that price is pulling back from overbought conditions, and the Williams %R overbought entry aligns with this. The overall picture is a short-term bearish correction within a broader bullish structure, so traders should manage risk accordingly and watch for signs of reversal near support levels.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple bearish signals fired simultaneously (Aroon, BOP, WILLR, SMA200, HMA, Vortex) indicating strong selling pressure.
- ▼ Short-term trend alignment across 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes all bearish.
- ▼ Williams %R overbought entry suggests price is due for a pullback.
- ▼ Daily timeframe bearish adds longer-term confluence.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) are still bullish, which could limit downside or lead to a reversal.
- ▲ If price reclaims resistance at 211.273, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
- ▲ Momentum could fade if price stalls near support without a clear break, leading to a consolidation.
- ▲ The bullish higher timeframe trend may attract buyers on dips, causing a bounce.
Symbol
GBP/JPY
Timeframe
2H
Direction
SELL
Conviction
81%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-09-21 16:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 211.27300 | 2026-09-18 |
| R2 | 211.80800 | 2026-09-04 |
| R3 | 216.82600 | 2026-09-01 |
| S1 | 207.86400 | 2026-09-17 |
| S2 | 207.29500 | 2026-09-11 |
| S3 | 207.08700 | 2026-09-08 |