GBP/JPY – 2H – SELL

SELL NEW
45 minutes ago
59.3 % – erste Kerze
STRONG Intraday
▲ Bullish 19 % (3.30) ▼ Bearish 81 % (13.94)
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
51.6% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 80.8 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
GBP/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Sep 2026, 22:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 2.37
▼ SMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 2.32
▲ HT SINE Zero Cross Up indicator 1.83
▼ VORTEX Cross Down indicator 1.72
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.70
▼ AROON Cross Down indicator 1.63
▼ AROONOSC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.63
▲ Long Legged Doji candlestick 0.92
▼ WILLR OB Entry indicator 0.70

Trend Context

15M
DOWNVery strong trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPSolid trend
12H
UPSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish momentum on the 2H chart with multiple indicators aligning for a sell.
  • Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are bearish, supporting the downside, but higher timeframes (2H-12H) are still bullish.
  • Key support at 207.864 is the immediate downside target; resistance at 211.273 is the invalidation level.
  • High probability (80%) and strong signal strength, but the bullish higher timeframes suggest this may be a correction.
The 2H chart for GBP/JPY has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including an Aroon Cross Down, an Aroon Oscillator Zero Cross Down, a Balance of Power Zero Cross Down, a Williams %R overbought entry, an SMA 200 retreat down, an HMA retreat down, and a Vortex Cross Down. Together, these indicate a strong shift in short-term momentum from bullish to bearish, with sellers gaining control after a period of upside. The bearish alignment on the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes supports the immediate downside, while the higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) remain bullish, suggesting this is a corrective pullback within a larger uptrend. The daily timeframe is bearish, adding a layer of confluence. Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 211.273 and nearest support at 207.864; a break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.

Traders should note the strong probability (80%) and strong signal strength, but the conflicting higher timeframe trends warrant caution. The bearish momentum is likely to target the support at 207.864, but a failure to hold below recent lows could lead to a bounce. The SMA 200 retreat down and HMA retreat down suggest that price is pulling back from overbought conditions, and the Williams %R overbought entry aligns with this. The overall picture is a short-term bearish correction within a broader bullish structure, so traders should manage risk accordingly and watch for signs of reversal near support levels.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple bearish signals fired simultaneously (Aroon, BOP, WILLR, SMA200, HMA, Vortex) indicating strong selling pressure.
  • ▼ Short-term trend alignment across 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes all bearish.
  • ▼ Williams %R overbought entry suggests price is due for a pullback.
  • ▼ Daily timeframe bearish adds longer-term confluence.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) are still bullish, which could limit downside or lead to a reversal.
  • ▲ If price reclaims resistance at 211.273, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade if price stalls near support without a clear break, leading to a consolidation.
  • ▲ The bullish higher timeframe trend may attract buyers on dips, causing a bounce.
Symbol GBP/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Conviction 81%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-09-21 16:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 211.27300 2026-09-18
R2 211.80800 2026-09-04
R3 216.82600 2026-09-01
S1 207.86400 2026-09-17
S2 207.29500 2026-09-11
S3 207.08700 2026-09-08

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