GBP/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 208× UPDATED

2026-09-21 11:00 UTC 5 days ago

59.3 % ↑ +5.7 zur Vorkerze

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +6% Scalping

▲ Bullish 14 % (1.86) ▼ Bearish 86 % (11.58)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

54.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 86.2 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 11 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 5.0 % vs 16.7 % average · stopped out 9.2 % vs 9.2 % (Forex, 120 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Sep 2026, 08:30 UTC, updated 208× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	2.06
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.33
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.12
▼	RSX OB Entry	indicator	1.08
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	0.98
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.92

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

UPSolid trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish indicators and candlestick patterns align on the 30M chart, signaling a high-probability short-term sell.
The broader trend is mostly bullish, so this is likely a pullback within an uptrend rather than a full reversal.
Watch the nearest support level; a break below it would confirm the bearish move, while a move back above resistance invalidates the signal.
The daily timeframe is bearish, which could add weight to the downside if the short-term correction extends.

The GBP/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, ER Level Cross Down, KDJ OB Exit, RSX OB Entry, and a ZSCORE Extreme High Exit. These are complemented by two bearish candlestick patterns: a Belt Hold Bearish and a Tweezers Top. Together, they point to a short-term exhaustion of buying pressure and a likely pullback from overbought conditions. The confluence of momentum, flow, and price-action signals at the same time adds weight to the bearish case for the immediate session.

However, the broader trend context is predominantly bullish across most timeframes, with solid trends on the 8h and 12h charts and forming trends on the 15m, 2h, and 4h. The 30m and 1h are choppy/sideways, which suggests the current sell signal may be a counter-trend correction rather than a reversal. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 210.342 and the nearest support at 210.342 (note: this appears to be a typo; likely support is lower). A break below the nearest support would confirm bearish momentum, while a reclaim of the resistance would negate the signal. The daily chart is bearish, adding a longer-term layer of potential downside pressure.

Catalysts

▼ A dense cluster of eight bearish signals, including momentum, flow, and candlestick patterns, provides strong confluence.
▼ Overbought conditions indicated by KDJ, RSX, and ZSCORE suggest the market is stretched and due for a pullback.
▼ The daily chart is bearish, offering a longer-term alignment that could support a deeper correction.
▼ The signal's high probability (81%) and strong strength rating increase the likelihood of the trade playing out.

Risk Factors

▲ The higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are in solid bullish trends, which could overpower the short-term bearish signal and lead to a quick bounce.
▲ The 30M and 1H timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear directional momentum that could result in false signals.
▲ If price reclaims the nearest resistance at 210.342, the bearish setup would be invalidated, and a move higher could accelerate.
▲ Momentum fading on lower timeframes could lead to a shallow pullback, limiting profit potential for the short side.