USD/CAD – 30M – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED
1 hour ago
59.3 % ↓ −1.7 zur Vorkerze
STRONG Scalping
▲ Bullish 91 % (35.60) ▼ Bearish 9 % (3.41)
6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 91.3 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen
USD/CAD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 91%
conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Sep 2026, 05:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.37
KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.35
EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.34
MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.30
MA Retreat Up indicator 2.29
MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.29
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.28
ALMA Retreat Up indicator 2.27
DEMA Retreat Up indicator 2.25
KELTNER UPPER Upper Breakout indicator 2.19
KST Zero Cross Up indicator 1.91
STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.70
Closing Marubozu Bullish candlestick 1.26

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPSolid trend
4H
UPVery strong trend
8H
UPSolid trend
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bullish signals on the 30-minute chart points to strong upward momentum.
  • Trend is bullish across all timeframes, with the 4-hour chart leading at very strong.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 1.40139; a break could open further upside.
  • Support at 1.39809 is the immediate level to hold for the bullish case.
The USD/CAD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by a Stochastic (STOCH) KD cross up and a broad retreat-up alignment across DEMA, EMA, HT Trendline, KAMA, MA, MAMA Price, and Midpoint. This confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators suggests renewed buying pressure after a pullback, with the price likely to challenge the nearest resistance at 1.40139. The signal strength is rated very strong, and the probability is set at 100%, reflecting an unusually high level of technical alignment.

Across timeframes, the bullish bias is consistent, though not uniformly mature. The 4-hour chart shows a very strong trend (4/5), while the 15-minute, 2-hour, and 8-hour charts are solid (3/5). The 30-minute, 1-hour, 12-hour, and daily charts are still forming (2/5), indicating that the higher-timeframe trend is supportive but not yet fully developed. This mixed maturity suggests the move could extend, but traders should watch for resistance at 1.40139 as a key barrier; a break above would confirm the trend, while a failure could lead to a retest of support at 1.39809.
Catalysts
  • Confluence of multiple retreat-up signals (DEMA, EMA, HT Trendline, KAMA, MA, MAMA, Midpoint) plus a STOCH KD cross up.
  • Bullish alignment across all timeframes, with the 4-hour chart showing a very strong trend.
  • Price is above nearest support, and the very strong signal strength suggests high conviction.
  • The signal group includes both candlestick and indicator patterns, adding technical confluence.
Risk Factors
  • The 30-minute, 1-hour, and daily trends are only 'forming' (2/5), so the higher-timeframe trend is not fully mature.
  • Resistance at 1.40139 is nearby; a rejection there could trigger a pullback.
  • If price breaks below the nearest support at 1.39809, the bullish setup would be invalidated.
  • Overbought conditions from the rapid cluster of signals could lead to short-term consolidation.
Symbol USD/CAD
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 91%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-09-21 08:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.40139 2026-09-18
S1 1.39809 2026-09-21
S2 1.39756 2026-09-18
S3 1.39733 2026-09-17

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