USD/CAD – 30M – BUY
BUY 2× UPDATED
1 hour ago
59.3 %
↓ −1.7 zur Vorkerze
STRONG
Scalping
▲ Bullish 91 % (35.60)
▼ Bearish 9 % (3.41)
6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 91.3 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen
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Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
50% — below this the other side leads
Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(21 Sep 2026, 05:30 UTC, updated 2× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.37 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.35 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.34 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.30 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.29 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 2.29 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.28 |
| ▲ | ALMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.27 |
| ▲ | DEMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.25 |
| ▲ | KELTNER UPPER Upper Breakout | indicator | 2.19 |
| ▲ | KST Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.91 |
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.70 |
| ▲ | Closing Marubozu Bullish | candlestick | 1.26 |
Trend Context
15MUPSolid trend
30MUPTrend forming
1HUPTrend forming
2HUPSolid trend
4HUPVery strong trend
8HUPSolid trend
12HUPTrend forming
1DUPTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A dense cluster of bullish signals on the 30-minute chart points to strong upward momentum.
- Trend is bullish across all timeframes, with the 4-hour chart leading at very strong.
- Watch the nearest resistance at 1.40139; a break could open further upside.
- Support at 1.39809 is the immediate level to hold for the bullish case.
The USD/CAD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by a Stochastic (STOCH) KD cross up and a broad retreat-up alignment across DEMA, EMA, HT Trendline, KAMA, MA, MAMA Price, and Midpoint. This confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators suggests renewed buying pressure after a pullback, with the price likely to challenge the nearest resistance at 1.40139. The signal strength is rated very strong, and the probability is set at 100%, reflecting an unusually high level of technical alignment.
Across timeframes, the bullish bias is consistent, though not uniformly mature. The 4-hour chart shows a very strong trend (4/5), while the 15-minute, 2-hour, and 8-hour charts are solid (3/5). The 30-minute, 1-hour, 12-hour, and daily charts are still forming (2/5), indicating that the higher-timeframe trend is supportive but not yet fully developed. This mixed maturity suggests the move could extend, but traders should watch for resistance at 1.40139 as a key barrier; a break above would confirm the trend, while a failure could lead to a retest of support at 1.39809.
Across timeframes, the bullish bias is consistent, though not uniformly mature. The 4-hour chart shows a very strong trend (4/5), while the 15-minute, 2-hour, and 8-hour charts are solid (3/5). The 30-minute, 1-hour, 12-hour, and daily charts are still forming (2/5), indicating that the higher-timeframe trend is supportive but not yet fully developed. This mixed maturity suggests the move could extend, but traders should watch for resistance at 1.40139 as a key barrier; a break above would confirm the trend, while a failure could lead to a retest of support at 1.39809.
Catalysts
- ▲ Confluence of multiple retreat-up signals (DEMA, EMA, HT Trendline, KAMA, MA, MAMA, Midpoint) plus a STOCH KD cross up.
- ▲ Bullish alignment across all timeframes, with the 4-hour chart showing a very strong trend.
- ▲ Price is above nearest support, and the very strong signal strength suggests high conviction.
- ▲ The signal group includes both candlestick and indicator patterns, adding technical confluence.
Risk Factors
- ▼ The 30-minute, 1-hour, and daily trends are only 'forming' (2/5), so the higher-timeframe trend is not fully mature.
- ▼ Resistance at 1.40139 is nearby; a rejection there could trigger a pullback.
- ▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 1.39809, the bullish setup would be invalidated.
- ▼ Overbought conditions from the rapid cluster of signals could lead to short-term consolidation.
Symbol
USD/CAD
Timeframe
30M
Direction
BUY
Conviction
91%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-09-21 08:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.40139 | 2026-09-18 |
| S1 | 1.39809 | 2026-09-21 |
| S2 | 1.39756 | 2026-09-18 |
| S3 | 1.39733 | 2026-09-17 |