USD/CAD – 30M – BUY

BUY 4× UPDATED

2026-09-21 16:00 UTC 2 hours ago

59.3 % – erste Kerze

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +5% Scalping

▲ Bullish 86 % (18.13) ▼ Bearish 14 % (3.01)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

54.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 85.8 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Sep 2026, 16:30 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.33
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.24
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.96
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.70
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▲	Above The Stomach	candlestick	1.31
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	1.01
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	0.92

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPVery strong trend

UPSolid trend

12H

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bullish indicators on the 30-minute chart supports a long bias.
Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H) are bullish, aligning with the short-term signal.
Key resistance at 1.40228 and support at 1.39809 define the trading range to watch.
The signal is very strong with 85% probability, but the 15m and 30m trends are still bearish, so confirmation is key.

The USD/CAD 30-minute signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, EMA 200 Retreat Up, SMA 200 Retreat Up, and HMA Retreat Up, alongside a bullish candlestick pattern (Above The Stomach). The confluence of momentum, trend-following, and candlestick signals points to renewed buying interest at the 30-minute level. The higher timeframes support the bullish case: the 4-hour chart shows a very strong uptrend (4/5), while the 2-hour and 8-hour charts are solidly bullish. The 1-hour, 12-hour, and daily timeframes are also bullish but still forming, suggesting the broader trend is aligned with the short-term signal.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 1.40228, which a break could open the path toward higher prices, and the nearest support at 1.39809, which must hold to maintain the bullish structure. The signal's high probability (85%) and very strong strength reflect the multiple confirmations. However, the 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes are currently bearish (though trend forming), indicating that the immediate momentum may still be turning. Traders should watch for a sustained move above resistance and a hold above support to confirm the bullish continuation.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish signals (BOP, STOCH, EMA/SMA retreats, HMA) provide strong confluence.
▲ Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H) are bullish, with the 4H showing a very strong trend.
▲ The bullish candlestick pattern 'Above The Stomach' adds a price-action confirmation.
▲ The signal is rated very strong with an 85% probability, indicating high conviction.

Risk Factors

▼ The 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes are still bearish, which could offset the bullish signal.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 1.39809 would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ Resistance at 1.40228 may cap upside if not broken with momentum.
▼ The 1H, 12H, and daily trends are only 'trend forming', so the higher timeframe trend is not fully established.