USD/CHF – 1H – BUY

BUY 9× UPDATED

2026-09-21 00:00 UTC 16 hours ago

59.3 % ↑ +24.0 zur Vorkerze

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +10% Intraday

▲ Bullish 84 % (15.04) ▼ Bearish 16 % (2.79)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

50.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 84.3 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 16 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.5 % vs 17.1 % average · stopped out 12.2 % vs 9.1 % (Forex, 172 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (20 Sep 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCH OS Exit	indicator	2.28
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	2.18
▼	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down	indicator	2.18
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	2.12
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.95
▲	ZLMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.84
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.82
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.27

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple oversold exit signals on the 1H chart suggest a potential bullish reversal.
Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bullish, supporting the bounce.
Nearest resistance at 0.82619 is the key upside target; support at 0.81771 is the invalidation level.
Strong signal strength (78%) but lower timeframes are still bearish, so watch for confirmation.

The 1H USD/CHF chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including CCI and Stochastic Oscillator exits from oversold territory, a retreat upward from the lower Bollinger Band, and upward turns in the Hull Moving Average and Zero-Lag Moving Average. The Ichimoku Tenkan-sen crosses below the Kijun-sen, and the HT Phasor inphase component crosses down, which together suggest a near-term reversal from oversold conditions. While the immediate lower timeframes (15m to 4h) remain bearish, the higher timeframes (8h, 12h, and 1d) are bullish, indicating that the larger trend is supportive of a bounce. The confluence of multiple oversold exit signals and the alignment with the higher timeframe bullish trend increases the probability of a bullish move.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.82619, which aligns with the prior swing high and could act as a target, and the nearest support at 0.81771, which is the invalidation level if the price breaks below. The strong signal strength (78% probability) and the fact that the higher timeframes are bullish suggest that the current bearish momentum may be fading. However, the lower timeframe bearish trends and the choppy 1H and 2H conditions could limit the upside. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal, while a break below support would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▲ Cluster of oversold exit signals (CCI, STOCH, BBANDS) indicate buying pressure.
▲ Higher timeframe bullish trends (8h, 12h, 1d) align with the 1H bullish signal.
▲ HMA and ZLMA turning up confirm short-term momentum shift.
▲ Ichimoku TK cross down and HT Phasor cross down are consistent with a reversal from oversold conditions.

Risk Factors

▼ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 4h) are still bearish, which could cap upside or delay the reversal.
▼ 1H and 2H trends are choppy/sideways, suggesting lack of clear direction.
▼ A break below support at 0.81771 would invalidate the bullish signal.
▼ Resistance at 0.82619 is nearby and could act as a strong ceiling if not broken.