USD/CHF – 1H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-09-21 15:00 UTC 48 minutes ago

59.3 % – erste Kerze

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +10% Intraday

▲ Bullish 84 % (14.86) ▼ Bearish 16 % (2.79)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

50.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 84.2 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.5 % vs 17.1 % average · stopped out 12.2 % vs 9.1 % (Forex, 172 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	2.30
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	2.11
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.81
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.77
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.73
▼	FISHER Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.35
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	1.32
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	1.14
▼	Below The Stomach	candlestick	1.08

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal on 1H, but higher timeframe trend is mixed—confirm with price action.
Key resistance at 0.82596; a break above could open the door to further upside.
Support at 0.81771 is the invalidation level; a close below it would negate the signal.
Multiple oversold-exit indicators align, suggesting a short-term bounce is likely.

The USD/CHF 1H signal is strongly bullish (84% probability), driven by a cluster of oversold-exit and momentum-turn indicators: BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, EMA 200 Retreat Up, CTI OS Entry, FISHER Zero Cross Down, KDJ OS Exit, and Keltner Lower Lower Retreat. These signals collectively suggest that selling pressure has exhausted and a short-term bounce is likely from the lower band of the Keltner Channel. However, the immediate trend context is mixed: the 1H and 2H timeframes are bearish and choppy, while higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bullish, indicating that the larger trend may be turning up. The key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 0.82596 and support at 0.81771; a break above resistance could confirm the bullish reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal.

The confluence of multiple oversold-exit signals on the 1H chart, combined with the bullish alignment on the 8H and 12H timeframes, supports a long bias. The EMA 200 Retreat Up suggests that price is pulling back to a rising long-term average, which often acts as a dynamic support. However, the lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are still bearish, and the 1H trend score is only 1/5, indicating weak momentum. Traders should watch for a close above the nearest resistance to confirm the reversal; failure to hold the support at 0.81771 would negate the setup.

Catalysts

▲ Cluster of oversold-exit signals (WILLR, KDJ, CTI) indicates exhausted selling pressure.
▲ EMA 200 Retreat Up suggests price is bouncing off a rising long-term average.
▲ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are bullish, supporting the larger uptrend.
▲ Keltner Lower Lower Retreat shows price rebounding from the lower band, a typical reversal trigger.

Risk Factors

▼ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are still bearish, which could weigh on the bounce.
▼ 1H and 2H trends are bearish and choppy, indicating weak momentum.
▼ Nearest resistance at 0.82596 may cap upside if not broken decisively.
▼ A close below support at 0.81771 would invalidate the bullish signal.