USD/CHF – 30M – SELL
SELL 1× UPDATED
42 minutes ago
59.3 %
– zur Vorkerze
VERY STRONG
Scalping
▲ Bullish 12 % (3.89)
▼ Bearish 88 % (27.41)
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
54.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 87.6 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen
⚠ Opened against the trend in
5 of 8 timeframes.
Target hit 10.5 %
vs 17.1 % average ·
stopped out 12.2 %
vs 9.1 %
(Forex, 172 closed runs).
Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(21 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTC, updated 1× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | RSX OB Exit | indicator | 2.15 |
| ▼ | SMA 50 Break Down | indicator | 2.12 |
| ▲ | CCI OB Exit | indicator | 1.98 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Downbreak + retest | trendline | 1.84 |
| ▼ | SAR Flip Bearish | indicator | 1.51 |
| ▼ | KAMA Break Down | indicator | 1.49 |
| ▼ | BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▼ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.28 |
| ▼ | DX Trend Weak | indicator | 1.13 |
| ▼ | SMI Signal Cross Down | indicator | 0.97 |
| ▼ | ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down | indicator | 0.92 |
| ▼ | TTM TREND Trend Down | indicator | 0.86 |
| ▼ | HMA Direction Down | indicator | 0.70 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HDOWNTrend forming
8HUPSolid trend
12HUPSolid trend
1DUPTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Short-term momentum is bearish on the 30-minute chart, supported by multiple indicators.
- The broader trend is still bullish on higher timeframes, so this could be a pullback.
- Watch the nearest support at 0.82158 for a potential downside target.
- A break above 0.82596 would invalidate the bearish signal.
The SELL signal on USD/CHF at the 30-minute timeframe is driven by a cluster of bearish indicators: a trendline breakdown, a bearish StochRSI cross, a CCI exit from overbought territory, and a KAMA breakdown, among others. This signals a short-term shift in momentum to the downside, with price retreating from the upper Bollinger Band and the SAR flipping bearish. The confluence of these signals suggests that the immediate bias is bearish, with the nearest support at 0.82158 as the primary downside target.
However, the broader trend picture is mixed. While the 15-minute, 2-hour, and 4-hour timeframes align with the bearish bias, the 30-minute, 1-hour, and longer-term timeframes (8-hour, 12-hour, and daily) remain bullish. This divergence indicates that the sell signal may be a counter-trend move within a larger uptrend. The 30-minute timeframe itself is marked as bullish but choppy/sideways, which reduces the reliability of the signal. The nearest resistance at 0.82596 is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
However, the broader trend picture is mixed. While the 15-minute, 2-hour, and 4-hour timeframes align with the bearish bias, the 30-minute, 1-hour, and longer-term timeframes (8-hour, 12-hour, and daily) remain bullish. This divergence indicates that the sell signal may be a counter-trend move within a larger uptrend. The 30-minute timeframe itself is marked as bullish but choppy/sideways, which reduces the reliability of the signal. The nearest resistance at 0.82596 is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple technical indicators align bearish, including trendline break and StochRSI cross down.
- ▼ Momentum indicators (CCI, DX) show weakening bullish pressure, supporting a downside move.
- ▼ Price is retreating from the upper Bollinger Band, a classic bearish reversal signal.
- ▼ Lower timeframes (15m, 2h, 4h) are bearish, adding confluence to the short-term trend.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) remain bullish, suggesting the sell signal may be counter-trend.
- ▲ The 30-minute timeframe itself is marked as bullish, conflicting with the sell signal.
- ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.82596 would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ The signal strength is strong but probability is moderate; choppy/sideways trend on the 1h could lead to false signals.
Symbol
USD/CHF
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Conviction
88%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-09-21 10:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.82596 | 2026-09-18 |
| R2 | 0.82619 | 2026-09-17 |
| R3 | 0.82637 | 2026-09-16 |
| S1 | 0.82158 | 2026-09-18 |
| S2 | 0.81817 | 2026-09-16 |