USD/CHF – 4H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-09-21 12:00 UTC 46 minutes ago

61.0 % – erste Kerze

VERY STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 5 % (1.32) ▼ Bearish 95 % (26.81)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

47.0% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 95.3 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.37
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.18
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.88
▼	COPPOCK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.32
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.32
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.22
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.06
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.06
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.00
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	0.95
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	0.85
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	0.75
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	0.75

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A powerful, multi-indicator sell signal has fired on the 4H chart, pointing to a strong bearish move in the near term.
The signal is backed by extremely high confluence (95% probability), but it conflicts with the bullish 8H/12H trends.
Key levels to watch: resistance at 0.82637 and support at 0.80672; a break below support could open further downside.
The 1H and 2H trends are choppy, so confirmation of a sustained downtrend on those timeframes is needed to validate the move.

The 4H USD/CHF chart has fired a dense cluster of momentum and trend signals, all aligned to the downside. The BOP, CMO, DI, DM, RSI, STOCHF, and WILLR all crossed or entered bearish territory simultaneously, with the BBANDS middle band also crossed down. This broad-based sell signal indicates strong intraday selling pressure, likely marking a shift in the 4H trend from bullish to bearish. The 95% probability and 'very strong' strength reflect the high confluence of these indicators, which rarely fire together without a meaningful move.

However, the higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) remain bullish, creating a conflicting picture. The 4H bearish signal is currently the dominant force, but it is acting against the larger uptrend. The nearest resistance at 0.82637 is the immediate hurdle for any bounce, while support at 0.80672 is the primary downside target. The signal suggests a retracement within the larger bullish structure, but if the 4H bearish momentum persists, it could challenge the 0.80672 level. Traders should watch whether the 1H and 2H timeframes, currently choppy, begin to confirm the bearish trend, which would strengthen the case for a sustained move lower.

Catalysts

▼ Extreme confluence of 12+ bearish signals, including RSI, STOCHF, and WILLR, all firing simultaneously.
▼ The 4H trend is forming (2/5) with bearish momentum, suggesting the start of a new downleg.
▼ The bearish crossover of the BBANDS middle band indicates a shift in volatility structure to the downside.
▼ The 15m and 30m trends are also bearish, aligning with the 4H signal for short-term momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ The 8H and 12H trends are solidly bullish (3/5), which could act as a strong headwind and cause the 4H bearish move to stall or reverse.
▲ The 1H and 2H trends are choppy/sideways, showing a lack of conviction that could lead to a false breakout.
▲ If price fails to break below the nearest support at 0.80672, the bearish signal may be invalidated and a bounce toward resistance is likely.
▲ A break above the 0.82637 resistance would negate the bearish setup and signal a resumption of the larger uptrend.