USD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-09-21 10:00 UTC 44 minutes ago

61.0 % – erste Kerze

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +2% Intraday

▲ Bullish 97 % (42.90) ▼ Bearish 3 % (1.35)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

57.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 97.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WMA Break Up	indicator	2.97
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.70
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.49
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.46
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.46
▲	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up	indicator	2.44
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.34
▲	SMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.34
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.33
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.85
▲	BIAS Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.78
▲	DPO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▲	RSX Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.31
▲	Marubozu Bullish	candlestick	1.16

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal on USD/JPY 1H with 97% probability and very strong strength.
Multiple indicators (STOCHF, EMA, KAMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, SMA, WMA) all align for a buy.
All timeframes are bullish, with solid trends on 12H and 1D, supporting the move.
Watch resistance at 158.05200 and support at 155.32200 for confirmation or invalidation.

The USD/JPY 1H signal is strongly bullish, with a 97% probability and very strong strength, driven by a cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators including STOCHF KD Cross Up, EMA Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up, MIDPOINT Retreat Up, MIDPRICE Retreat Up, SMA Retreat Up, and WMA Break Up. This confluence of signals points to a synchronized upward push across multiple moving averages and oscillators, suggesting that buyers are firmly in control on the 1H timeframe. The bullish alignment is supported by the broader trend structure, as all timeframes from 15 minutes to daily are bullish, with the 12H and 1D showing solid trends (3/5 strength). This multi-timeframe agreement reinforces the likelihood of continued upside momentum.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 158.05200, which could act as a target or potential reversal zone, and the nearest support at 155.32200, which serves as the critical invalidation level. A break above resistance would confirm further upside, while a move below support would negate the bullish setup. Given the very strong signal and aligned trends, the path of least resistance is upward, but traders should remain vigilant for any signs of momentum fading or a loss of support.

Catalysts

▲ Multi-timeframe bullish alignment from 15m to daily.
▲ Confluence of eight or more bullish indicator signals on the 1H chart.
▲ Strong trend scores on higher timeframes (12H and 1D) indicating sustained momentum.
▲ Price likely holding above key moving averages, supporting the retreat-up signals.

Risk Factors

▼ A break below support at 155.32200 would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ Choppy/sideways conditions on 30m and 1H (trend strength 1/5) could lead to false breakouts.
▼ Resistance at 158.05200 may cap upside and trigger a pullback.
▼ If momentum indicators (like STOCHF) start to diverge, the signal could weaken.