USD/JPY – 2H – BUY

BUY 50× UPDATED

2026-09-21 14:00 UTC 4 days ago

59.3 % – erste Kerze

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +10% Intraday

▲ Bullish 85 % (38.16) ▼ Bearish 15 % (6.70)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

51.6% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 85.1 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Sep 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 50× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Bull Flagbreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.10
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.80
▲	SMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.42
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.24
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.23
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.23
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.14
▲	QSTICK Zero Cross Up	indicator	2.07
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.94
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.94
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	1.94
▼	AROON Cross Down	indicator	1.81
▼	AROONOSC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.81
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.25
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.22
▼	KDJ OB Entry	indicator	0.69

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Momentum is firmly bullish on the 2H with multiple zero-line crosses up.
The Bull Flag pattern suggests a pause before continuation, not a reversal.
All timeframes align bullish, though the 1H is choppy.
Watch for a break above 158.052 to confirm; a close below 153.236 would invalidate.

The 2H USD/JPY signal is overwhelmingly bullish (84% probability, strong). The cluster of momentum oscillators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) has all crossed above their zero lines, indicating accelerating upside momentum, while the EMA Retreat Up suggests price is pulling back toward a rising moving average before resuming the trend. The Bull Flag pattern on the 2H chart points to a continuation of the prior advance, and the AROON Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down reflect a short-term consolidation within the flag, which is typical before a breakout. Across timeframes, the bullish bias is consistent from 15m up to the daily, though higher timeframes (12H, 1D) show a solid trend (3/5) while the 1H is choppy (1/5), suggesting some intraday noise. The key levels to watch are the resistance at 158.052 and the support at 153.236; a breakout above resistance would confirm the flag pattern and expose further upside, while a break below support would invalidate the bullish setup.

Catalysts

▲ Trend alignment across timeframes: bullish from 15m to 1D, with solid trends on 12H and 1D.
▲ Confluence of momentum indicators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) all crossing up.
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicates the pullback is finding support at the moving average.
▲ High probability and strong strength score (84%) indicate robust signal confluence.

Risk Factors

▼ The 1H timeframe is choppy, which could produce false signals in the short term.
▼ Immediate resistance at 158.052 is close by, and a rejection there could stall the advance.
▼ If price breaks below the support at 153.236, the bullish flag pattern is invalidated.
▼ The AROON Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down suggest short-term weakness that could persist longer than expected.