USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-09-21 00:05 UTC 52 minutes ago

59.3 % – zur Vorkerze

MODERATE Scalping

▲ Bullish 25 % (7.58) ▼ Bearish 75 % (22.33)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

52.5% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 74.7 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.8 % vs 17.9 % average · stopped out 12.7 % vs 9.2 % (Forex, 166 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (20 Sep 2026, 21:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Ascending Channelbreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.79
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.23
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.22
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.12
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.94
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.94
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.94
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.93
▲	QSTICK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.75
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.74
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.74
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	1.74
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.74
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.50
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.16
▼	Bearish Harami Cross	candlestick	1.10
▲	Takuri Line	candlestick	1.05

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal cluster on the 30M chart, including an Ascending Channel breakdown and multiple momentum crosses.
Short-term timeframes (15M, 30M, 1H) are bearish, but higher timeframes (2H to 1D) remain bullish, suggesting a potential pullback within an uptrend.
Key support at 155.87100 is the immediate downside target; a break below could accelerate selling.
Resistance at 158.05200 is the invalidation level; a move above it would negate the bearish signal.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including an Ascending Channel breakdown, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and WILLR entering oversold territory. The DEMA Retreat Down adds momentum confirmation, while the MOM, ROC, and ROCR zero-line crosses indicate a shift in short-term momentum. The confluence of chart pattern, candlestick, and indicator groups points to a strong bearish bias on the 30M timeframe, with the price likely to test the nearest support at 155.87100.

Trend alignment is mixed across higher timeframes: the 15M, 30M, and 1H are bearish, but the 2H through 1D are bullish. This suggests the bearish signal is a counter-trend move within a larger uptrend. The 30M and 1H bearish trends provide near-term confirmation, but the bullish higher timeframes could limit downside. Key levels to watch are resistance at 158.05200 and support at 155.87100; a break below support would open the door for further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple indicator groups (chart pattern, candlestick, indicator) all pointing bearish.
▼ Bearish trend on the 15M, 30M, and 1H timeframes aligns with the signal direction.
▼ Momentum oscillators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) crossing zero to the upside suggest a short-term pullback that could extend.
▼ The DEMA Retreat Down confirms a shift in trend direction on the 30M chart.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2H to 1D) are bullish, which could limit downside and lead to a reversal.
▲ The WILLR is in oversold territory, which may indicate that the bearish move is overextended and a bounce is possible.
▲ Resistance at 158.05200 is nearby; a reclaim of this level would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ The signal is on a 30M timeframe, so the move may be short-lived and subject to whipsaws in a ranging market.