ETH/USDT – 2H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-09-22 20:00 UTC 1 hour ago

63.8 % – erste Kerze

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +6% Intraday

▲ Bullish 14 % (1.76) ▼ Bearish 86 % (10.82)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

51.6% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 86.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.8 % vs 38.5 % average · stopped out 53.3 % vs 21.2 % (Crypto, 977 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Sep 2026, 22:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	AO Regular Bear Div	divergence	2.50
▲	FISHER Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.76
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.41
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	1.35
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▼	AROON Cross Down	indicator	1.10
▼	AROONOSC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.10
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	0.80
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	0.71

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPVery strong trend

UPSolid trend

12H

UPTrend forming

UPVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum is building on the 2H chart, but the higher timeframes are still bullish.
Key support at 2564.33 is the level to watch; a break below would confirm the bearish move.
Resistance at 2807.34 is the immediate upside barrier if the pullback fails.
The signal is strong (86% probability), but the bullish higher-timeframe trend is a major counterweight.

The 2H chart for ETH/USDT has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by AROON Cross Down and AROONOSC Zero Cross Down, which indicate a shift in momentum from buyers to sellers. The additional breakdown signals—STOCHF KD Cross Down, DEMA Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, and HMA Break Down—confirm that the short-term trend is losing upside traction. The FISHER Zero Cross Up adds a contrarian twist, suggesting a possible short-term bounce, but the overall signal stack is clearly bearish for the 2H timeframe.

However, the higher timeframes remain predominantly bullish, with the 4H and 1D showing very strong trends (4/5). This creates a conflict: the bearish 2H signal may represent a pullback within a larger uptrend rather than a reversal. The nearest resistance at 2807.34 and support at 2564.33 are critical levels to watch. A break below support would strengthen the bearish case, while a hold above it could see the bulls resume control. The signal probability of 86% with very strong strength suggests a high-confidence short-term move, but traders should be aware of the bullish backdrop on higher timeframes.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish indicators align on the 2H timeframe, including AROON Cross Down and HMA Break Down.
▼ The signal strength is very strong, with a high probability (86%) of the move playing out.
▼ The divergence signal group suggests that price may be diverging from momentum, supporting a downside move.
▼ The 2H trend score is solid (3/5), providing a base for the bearish signal to develop.

Risk Factors

▲ The higher timeframes (4H, 1D) are strongly bullish, which could overpower the 2H bearish signal.
▲ If price holds above the 2564.33 support, the bearish move may be only a shallow pullback.
▲ The FISHER Zero Cross Up is a bullish signal that could trigger a short-term bounce, invalidating the sell.
▲ A break above the 2807.34 resistance would negate the bearish setup and signal a resumption of the uptrend.