ETH/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-09-23 14:00 UTC 1 hour ago

54.9 % ↑ +15.2 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 35 % (3.80) ▼ Bearish 65 % (6.93)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

45.9% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 64.6 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Sep 2026, 14:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	BBANDS LOWER Break Down	indicator	2.65
▼	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	2.21
▲	CHOP Trending	indicator	2.09
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.76
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.75
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.75
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.56
▲	RSI OS Entry	indicator	1.51
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.45
▼	KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	1.32
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.25
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low	indicator	1.19
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.17
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	0.97
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.81
▼	Last Engulfing Bottom	candlestick	0.76
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	0.69

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPVery strong trend

UPSolid trend

12H

UPSolid trend

UPVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish momentum on the 30-minute chart, confirmed by multiple indicators and a break below the lower Bollinger Band.
Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m) align bearish, but higher timeframes (2h and above) are bullish, indicating a pullback within an uptrend.
Watch the support at 2646.00—a break below could extend the decline; a reclaim of resistance at 2789.00 would invalidate the bearish signal.
The signal is moderate strength with 72% probability, so position sizing should reflect the counter-trend nature.

The 30-minute ETH/USDT chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, RSI oversold entry, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and a break below the lower Bollinger Band. These are reinforced by DEMA and EMA retreats, plus multiple HT Phasor and HT Sine cross downs, indicating strong selling pressure in the short term. The 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes are both bearish with solid to very strong trend scores, aligning with the signal's direction. However, the higher timeframes—from 2h up to 1d—remain bullish, with the 4h and 1d showing very strong bullish trends. This creates a clear conflict: the bearish move is likely a pullback within a larger uptrend, not a reversal.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 2789.00 and support at 2646.00. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum and could extend the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The probability of 72% with moderate strength suggests a moderate conviction trade, but the higher-timeframe bullish bias means this sell signal should be treated as a counter-trend opportunity. Traders should watch for any signs of bullish reversal signals on the 1h timeframe or a failure to break support as a warning that the pullback may be ending.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of bearish signals across candlestick and indicator groups, including BOP, RSI, STOCHF, and Bollinger Bands.
▼ Strong bearish trend scores on the 15m and 30m timeframes support the short-term direction.
▼ Break below the lower Bollinger Band often signals continued momentum in the direction of the breakout.
▼ Multiple HT Phasor and HT Sine cross downs add technical confluence to the bearish case.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2h to 1d) are bullish, with the 4h and 1d showing very strong uptrends, which could absorb the bearish move.
▲ RSI oversold entry suggests the price may be near a short-term bottom, risking a bounce.
▲ If the price holds above support at 2646.00 and forms a higher low, the bearish signal could fail and reverse.
▲ The bullish trend on higher timeframes is strong, so the sell signal may be a mere pullback, not a reversal.