PEP/EUSDT – 2H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-09-23 08:00 UTC 1 hour ago

62.9 % – erste Kerze

STRONG Intraday

▲ Bullish 18 % (1.50) ▼ Bearish 82 % (7.00)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

51.6% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 82.3 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 18.0 % vs 38.6 % average · stopped out 34.3 % vs 21.5 % (Crypto, 616 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Sep 2026, 10:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.68
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.50
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.33
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.23
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.20

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

UPVery strong trend

12H

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals on the 2H chart point to a pullback, but the higher timeframes remain bullish.
The confluence of multiple retreat signals and a KDJ cross down strengthens the short-term bearish case.
Watch the nearest support at 0.00000; a break below would confirm the pullback, while resistance at 0.00001 is the key invalidation level.
This is likely a tactical sell within an uptrend, not a long-term trend reversal.

The 2H chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals—Williams %R oversold entry, midpoint, midprice, and SMA retreats down, a KDJ cross down, and HMA direction down—indicating a short-term pullback within a broader uptrend. While the 2H and higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) remain bullish, the lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are already bearish and choppy, suggesting that momentum is fading at the 2H level. The confluence of multiple retreat signals and the KDJ cross down reinforce the bearish bias for the immediate session, but the higher timeframe trend acts as a counterweight.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 0.00001 and nearest support at 0.00000. A break below support would confirm the pullback and open the door for further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish signal and signal a resumption of the uptrend. Given the strong higher timeframe trend, this sell signal is best viewed as a tactical short-term opportunity rather than a reversal signal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple retreat signals (MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, SMA) align on the 2H chart, increasing the likelihood of a pullback.
▼ KDJ cross down and HMA direction down confirm bearish momentum on the 2H timeframe.
▼ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are already bearish, supporting the short-term downside move.
▼ Strong signal strength and high probability (82%) add conviction to the bearish setup.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bullish and solid, which could overwhelm the 2H bearish signal and lead to a quick reversal.
▲ The 1H timeframe is still bullish, creating a conflicting signal that may slow or invalidate the pullback.
▲ If price reclaims the nearest resistance at 0.00001, the bearish signal would be invalidated and the uptrend likely resumes.
▲ The lower timeframe trends are choppy/sideways, which could lead to false signals and whipsaw moves.