WIF/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-09-22 22:00 UTC 1 hour ago

37.9 % ↑ +2.0 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 35 % (4.97) ▼ Bearish 65 % (9.25)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

45.9% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 8.2 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 19.2 % vs 38.5 % average · stopped out 33.7 % vs 21.2 % (Crypto, 573 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Sep 2026, 22:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	2.13
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.73
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.70
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.57
▼	ADX Trend Weak	indicator	1.52
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.52
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.26
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.93

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

UPVery strong trend

UPSolid trend

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

30-minute bearish signals are firing, but they contradict the bullish higher timeframes.
Momentum is weak (ADX weak trend), so the sell signal may lack follow-through.
Watch the 0.28010 support; a break could confirm further downside, while a hold might lead to a bounce.
The broader trend remains bullish, so any short trade should be treated as counter-trend with tight risk management.

The 30-minute SELL signal on WIF/USDT is driven by a cluster of momentum and trend indicators aligning bearish on the lower timeframe. ADX shows a weak trend, suggesting the current down move lacks strong directional force, while the BOP zero cross down indicates selling pressure. The stochastic cross up and Williams %R oversold entry hint at a possible short-term bounce, but the retreat of the Bollinger Bands lower band, KAMA, MAMA, and SMA 50 all point to downside momentum. The candlestick group adds confluence, reinforcing the bearish stance.

However, the higher timeframes (1h to 1d) remain bullish, with the 2h showing a very strong trend. This creates a conflict: the sell signal is a counter-trend move against the broader uptrend. The nearest support at 0.28010 is a key level to watch; a break below could extend the decline, while a bounce could see the pair resume the larger bullish trend. The nearest resistance at 0.28010 (likely a typo, should be higher) is less relevant for a bearish signal; the focus is on the support level.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators (BOP, KAMA, MAMA, SMA 50) align bearish on the 30m.
▼ Bollinger Bands lower band retreat suggests volatility expansion to the downside.
▼ Candlestick pattern adds confluence to the bearish signal.
▼ The 15m and 30m timeframes are both bearish, supporting the short-term direction.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (1h to 1d) are bullish, with the 2h showing a very strong trend, which could overpower the lower timeframe signal.
▲ The ADX indicates a weak trend, meaning the bearish move may lack momentum and could reverse quickly.
▲ Stochastic cross up and Williams %R oversold suggest a potential bounce, which could invalidate the sell signal.
▲ If price holds above 0.28010 support, the sell signal may fail and the bullish trend could resume.