ADA/USDT – 2H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-09-25 02:00 UTC 59 minutes ago

53.9 % – erste Kerze

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +24% Intraday

▲ Bullish 39 % (7.92) ▼ Bearish 61 % (12.40)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

50.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 61.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.6 % vs 38.2 % average · stopped out 41.3 % vs 21.5 % (Crypto, 622 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (25 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Rising Wedgebreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.14
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.40
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.37
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.94
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.59
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.21
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.16
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.13

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish 2H signals, led by a Rising Wedge, suggest a potential pullback in ADA/USDT.
Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 1D) remain bullish, so this may be a correction within an uptrend.
Watch the Rising Wedge breakout direction and key levels: resistance at 0.26230, support at 0.21830.
Signal strength is weak, so confirmation from price action is needed before acting.

The 2H chart for ADA/USDT is flashing a cluster of bearish signals, led by a Rising Wedge pattern and multiple momentum oscillators exiting overbought territory. This suggests that the recent upward push may be losing steam and a pullback could be in the offing. However, the broader trend across higher timeframes remains bullish, with the 4H, 8H, and 1D charts all showing solid uptrends. The 2H signal is therefore a potential short-term correction within a larger uptrend, not necessarily a reversal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.26230 and support at 0.21830. A break below the Rising Wedge's lower boundary would confirm bearish momentum, with the support zone as the first target. Conversely, if the price holds above the wedge and reclaims recent highs, the bearish setup would be invalidated. The signal's weak strength and the bullish higher timeframe context argue for caution, as the pullback could be shallow and quickly bought into.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple overbought exit signals (CCI, WILLR, STOCHRSI) align with the Rising Wedge, increasing the likelihood of a pullback.
▼ The Rising Wedge is a classic bearish reversal pattern, and its presence adds weight to the sell signal.
▼ The 2H timeframe shows a bearish bias while higher timeframes are bullish, suggesting a short-term correction that could find support at the 0.21830 level.

Risk Factors

▲ The higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 1D) are all bullish, which could overpower the 2H bearish signal and lead to a continuation higher.
▲ The signal strength is weak (61% probability), indicating a lower conviction setup that may fail.
▲ If the price breaks above the Rising Wedge's upper boundary and the 0.26230 resistance, the bearish thesis is invalidated.
▲ The 15M timeframe is choppy, which could lead to false breakouts and whipsaws.