ETH/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 5× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-09-25 10:30 UTC 1 day ago

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.3 % vs 37.1 % average · stopped out 42.5 % vs 21.3 % (Crypto, 699 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (25 Sep 2026, 11:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	TRIX Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.84
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.73
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.47
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.24
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.01
▼	Bearish Harami Cross	candlestick	0.90

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

UPVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish cluster on 30M: BOP, STOCH, SMA/HMA retreat, and candlestick patterns all point to a short-term pullback.
Resistance at 2789.00 is the key upside barrier; a failure here supports the bearish case.
Support at 2600.15 is the critical downside level; a break could accelerate selling.
Higher timeframe trend is bullish, so this is likely a pullback within a larger uptrend, not a reversal.

The 30-minute ETH/USDT chart has triggered a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and two moving-average retreat signals (SMA 200 and HMA), alongside candlestick patterns (Northern Doji and Bearish Harami Cross). These signals collectively suggest that the recent upward momentum on the 30-minute timeframe is stalling, with sellers stepping in near the 2789.00 resistance. The bearish signal is further supported by the 4-hour timeframe, which is already showing a bearish trend, while the 1-day chart remains strongly bullish, indicating a potential pullback within a larger uptrend.

From a multi-timeframe perspective, the bullish trend on the 15-minute, 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 8-hour, and 12-hour charts is either weak or choppy, with trend scores mostly at 1/5 or 2/5. This lack of strong bullish conviction on lower timeframes aligns with the bearish signal. The nearest support at 2600.15 is a critical level to watch; a break below this could open the door for further downside, while a hold could see the pair resume its broader bullish trajectory. The TRIX Zero Cross Up signal is a nuance, suggesting some underlying positive momentum, but the overall bearish cluster on the 30-minute chart takes precedence in the near term.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple confirmation signals on the 30M chart (BOP, STOCH, SMA/HMA retreat, candlestick patterns) increase the probability of a bearish move.
▼ The 4H timeframe is already bearish, aligning with the 30M bearish signal.
▼ Resistance at 2789.00 is being tested, providing a logical level for sellers to step in.
▼ The overall weak bullish trend scores on lower timeframes (1/5 to 2/5) suggest limited upside momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1-day timeframe is strongly bullish (4/5), which could override the 30M bearish signal and lead to a quick bounce.
▲ The TRIX Zero Cross Up signal indicates some underlying positive momentum, which could counter the bearish pressure.
▲ If the price breaks above 2789.00, the bearish setup would be invalidated, and the pair could continue higher.
▲ The 30M trend is still technically bullish (1/5), so the bearish signal may be a short-term correction rather than a sustained move.